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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (164031)10/21/2020 1:26:20 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218073
 
Forget stimulus. It shall happen. Whether it is right or wrong no matter, for it is necessary, per just one more tranche and promise to be good.

Incredibly that there are any arguments w/r to the stimulus, but yes, it does matter who gets what how and when, in what amount, for what purpose, etc etc

As argued by Raoul Pal, with advent of digital currency, CBs henceforth shall be able to precisely where money sent, for what purpose, where the spending venue, and arrange to tax to grab back the government portion - it would be good for the folks be the pitch

Gold is going to be soooooooooo valuable, but not for spending. It shall be too valuable to spend. Digital is for spending, and for tracking to see that it isn’t spent on gold, am guessing.

Going forward likely that gold must remain a very private affair.

Crazy world already, but nuts that leading anchor (CNN legal guy?) wanks off on Zoom meeting and does not (yet) lose job. Imagine the horror at dinner that night around his table. Comedy if not tragedy.

2020 not disappointing.



To: carranza2 who wrote (164031)10/22/2020 2:13:22 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218073
 
Martin chimes in ask-socrates.com

Craziness of What is to Come
WEDNESDAY, 21 OCTOBER 2020 BY: MARTY ARMSTRONG



QUESTION: Good Evening Martin,

Hope you are doing well and thank you for what you are doing to help the nation and those who will listen. I read the latest private blog today. It sure seems as though nothing will stop the market momentum. I know Trump will win and I believe the USSC will become involved and rule on the election issue and in the end the victory for Trump will be bigger than 2016. Could you please address what Socrates indicates will happen with the general market (DOW) and gold when Trump is finally declared the winner and the margin of victory is revealed? Will the market be like November 2016 and just take off and never looked back?

Also at the 2019 WEC you mentioned March 14, 2022 is looking like the 87’ crash? At some time could you provide some additional detail- perhaps at this year WEC.

I am looking forward to the WEC and thank you for holding a WEC this year.


All the Best,

ANSWER: I fear that the country is so divided, things will NEVER be the same. I spoke to someone who will vote for Biden and I have known them for a long time. There is no point in trying to change their mind, so I am more interested in listening to their reasoning. As I have said, NOTHING that Biden can be shown he has done will ever change the mind of a Biden supporter. When I asked what about all the news coming out about Hunter, the response was Trump is corrupt too.

My greatest fear is that this is by no means going to be a real election. You have EVERY mainstream media conspiring with this Great Reset just as the New York Times was cheering Stalin. They just WANT to believe the empty promises of equality and fairness. Big tech would NOT be supporting them any more than Soros and Gates if they really were going to go after the super-rich.

I understand that the older generation has heard these promises before and are convinced that Trump will win by a landslide. They are UNDERESTIMATING the corruption behind this election and the real potential for this election to be stolen. The Democrats will boycott the confirmation hearing of Barrett because the current rules require 2 Democrats to be present. But the Republicans can change the rules so a majority vote rules and she would be appointed. I have shown that even when the court was 7 to 2, that still does not mean they only vote their party line.

2022 looks to be the year from hell. Even if the Democrats steal this election, they will be thrown out and we are looking at a major split in the Democrats for the conservative members have never been Marxists and they will not go along with this insanity.

We could still decline to the mid 15000 level on the Dow and then slingshot up into 2024. DO NOT get bullish unless we make new highs in the Dow and the Russel 2000. What the reversals below. This is a very serious time people and the hatred building on both sides will only lead to serious civil unrest into 2021 which will NOTsubside!



To: carranza2 who wrote (164031)10/22/2020 2:18:42 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218073
 
The future is troubling, something about 2022 and 15500, and I do not relish 15500

that sort of 'deflation' does not typically work well

ask-socrates.com

Blog


We had a Directional Change last week which appears to have created a high. A close for this week below 28180 will warn that we can see a sharp drop to test the 27500 level. A monthly closing below 25335 area will warn that the market may decline into 2022 and test the 15500 zone.

If you look at this array and compare it to the arrays in the Election report, you will see that correlation to 2022. It clearly warns that even if they succeed in stealing the election from Trump, they will be thrown out by 2022. The full-blown agenda will become obvious going into 2022. The EU sale of "social bonds" was oversubscribed and they hope to sell 900 billion euro in total. This is an effort to raise money under the EU banner and then redistribute it to member states thereby relieving them of the need to issue independently. This was the same trick that Alexander Hamilton pulled offering to consolidate the various state debts for the war thereby making them amenable to a federalized union. This is the same strategy being used in the EU.

Do NOT anticipate.



To: carranza2 who wrote (164031)10/22/2020 2:24:33 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218073
 
Am unclear how
It has come out that Facebook is using Chinese nationals to censor American press.
Meaning how are Chinese nationals working in the US for Facebook, or is it the case that FB has outsourced certain tasks to China-based web service companies. Should the latter be the case, brilliant, well played, admirable, worthy opponent, must give credit where credit due.

The rest of the blog is also thought provoking

ask-socrates.com
US Share Market 10/21/2020
WEDNESDAY, 21 OCTOBER 2020 BY: MARTY ARMSTRONG



The market has pulled back as a stimulus package is delayed. The Democrats have no incentive to allow any stimulus before the election and many people have asked what about all the evidence pouring in about Biden and his family corruption? I seriously doubt that even if you could prove Biden killed JFK it would make any difference to a Democrat. They vote their part regardless of the facts. Such revelations are confined to independents and there are many people who just hate Trump as arrogant and do not like the person. They will vote personality and ignore the entire Hunter Biden affair and if Trump is defeated, that will all go away.

I have warned that the computer has NEVER been wrong on elections. However, it projected that Gore should have won and that was handed to Bush by the Supreme Court. My concern here is that there are just so many involved in trying to convert the United States into a new Marxist Disneyland with all of the mainstream media joining this coup, they will most likely declare Biden the winner no matter what. Trump has to win by a VERY BIG margin to overcome the sheer unprecedented level of fraud. It has come out that Facebook is using Chinese nationals to censor American press.

The markets are NOT declining simply because of a delayed stimulus that will do nothing anyhow. They are declining because a Biden victory will reverse the entire capitalistic system we have and push the World Economic Forum's Great Reset. This is fulfilling our computer's forecast that by the end of 2032, the financial capital will move to China. The West is running headfirst into Marxism and the main leading politicians from Merkel, Johnson, Trudeau, and Andrews have most likely been bribed.

We must be prepared for if the sell signals Socrates is showing are elected, there will not be this wonderful bull market, but a continued depression into 2022. The arrays in the Political forecasting report paint a very serious image of the future. ABSOLUTELY neither side will accept a loss. People have armed themselves and they will fight against a Marxist agenda. We may see some countries go into revolution during the first half of 2021.



To: carranza2 who wrote (164031)10/22/2020 2:28:56 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218073
 
Ah, okay, intra office rivalry gone amuck, fuelled by pettiness and whatever, or a national security issue under-appreciated

I wonder who is Ahmari's true sovereign and that may explain much. Doesn't take much to spark a witch-hunt

nypost.com

Meet your (Chinese) Facebook censors
By Sohrab Ahmari

By Sohrab Ahmari

October 20, 2020 | 8:04pm

Shutterstock

China is one of the most censorious societies on Earth. So what better place for Facebook to recruit social media censors?

There are at least half a dozen “Chinese nationals who are working on censorship,” a former Facebook insider told me last week. “So at some point, they [Facebook bosses] thought, ‘Hey, we’re going to get them H-1B visas so they can do this work.’ ”

The insider shared an internal directory of the team that does much of this work. It’s called Hate-Speech Engineering (George Orwell, call your office), and most of its members are based at Facebook’s offices in Seattle. Many have Ph.D.s, and their work is extremely complex, involving machine learning — teaching “computers how to learn and act without being explicitly programmed,” as the techy website DeepAI.org puts it.

When it comes to censorship on social media, that means “teaching” the Facebook code so certain content ends up at the top of your newsfeed, a feat that earns the firm’s software wizards discretionary bonuses, per the ex-insider. It also means making sure other content “shows up dead-last.”

Like, say, a New York Post report on the Biden dynasty’s dealings with Chinese companies.

To illustrate the mechanics, the insider took me as his typical Facebook user: “They take what Sohrab sees, and then they throw the newsfeed list into a machine-learning algorithm and neural networks that determine the ranking of the items.”

Facebook engineers test hundreds of different iterations of the rankings to shape an optimal outcome — and root out what bosses call “borderline content.”

It all makes for perhaps the most chillingly sophisticated censorship mechanism in human history. “What they don’t do is ban a specific pro-Trump hashtag,” says the ex-insider. Instead, “content that is a little too conservative, they will down-rank. You can’t tell it’s censored.”

I won’t share the names of the Facebook employees in question. The point isn’t to spotlight individuals, but to show how foreign nationals from a state that still bans Facebook have their hands on the levers of social media censorship here in America.

The Hate-Speech Engineering team’s staff includes a research scientist based at the Seattle office who earned his master’s degree in computer engineering from the Chinese Academy of Sciences in Beijing, according to his LinkedIn profile.

Another member of the team, a software engineer for machine learning based in Seattle, earned his bachelor’s and master’s degrees in computer science from Jilin University in northeast China. Still another, an engineering manager, earned his bachelor’s in computer science at Nanjing University in eastern China.

Another software engineer previously worked for the Communist-backed conglomerate Huawei, as well as the Beijing National Railway & Design Institute of Signal and Communication. I reached out to all six employees; two replied to confirm that they are Chinese nationals but refused to comment further; the rest didn’t reply.

Plenty of Big Tech firms, of course, recruit their foreign specialists from China, India and elsewhere, and many of these workers hope to resettle in the United States permanently and share the American Dream.

But some may not, and the trouble is that the society they might return to ­already deploys one of the most comprehensive and fine-tuned intellectual control mechanisms on its own population. What’s to stop Facebook’s Chinese engineers from delivering their Facebook expertise to Xi Jinping? Globalists thought that engaging with China would make that country more open; I fear it’s making us more restrictive.

A Facebook spokesperson denied that these employees influence broader policies. “We are a stronger company because our employees come from all over the world. Our standards and policies are public, including about our third-party fact-checking program, and designed to apply equally to content across the political spectrum. With over 35,000 people working on safety and security issues at Facebook, the insinuation that these employees have an outsized influence on our broader policies or technology is absurd.”

Yet, as Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) put it in an email to me, these revelations are yet “another indication that Big Tech is no longer deserving” of statutory protections that render it immune to a publisher’s liabilities. Big Tech critic Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.), meanwhile, said “this is all the more reason for the Senate to demand that Mark Zuckerberg — under oath and before the election — give an account of what Facebook has been up to.”

Sohrab Ahmari is The Post’s op-ed editor. This is his second column based on conversations with a Facebook insider.



To: carranza2 who wrote (164031)10/22/2020 5:38:45 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218073
 
am concerned about anything the plucking pluck squid GS tells us, but as always, the pictures are nice

reuters.com

Commodities headed for bull market in 2021 on inflation fears, stimulus: Goldman Sachs



(Reuters) - A weaker U.S. dollar, rising inflation risks and demand driven by additional fiscal and monetary stimulus from major central banks will spur a bull market for commodities in 2021, Goldman Sachs said on Thursday.

The bank forecast a return of 28% over a 12-month period on the S&P/Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI), with a 17.9% return for precious metals, 42.6% for energy, 5.5% for industrial metals and a negative return of 0.8% for agriculture.

Markets are now increasingly concerned about the return of inflation, the Wall Street bank said.

Expansionary fiscal and monetary policies in developed market economies continue to drive interest rates lower and create demand for hedging the tail risks of inflation, lifting demand for precious metals, Goldman Sachs said in a note.

Goldman forecast gold prices XAU= at an average of $1,836 per ounce in 2020 and $2,300 per ounce in 2021, and expects silver prices XAG= to be at around $22 per ounce in 2020 and $30 per ounce next year.

Spot gold was trading at $1,915.04 per ounce by 0527 GMT, while silver was at $24.85 per ounce.

Gold, widely viewed as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement, has gained 26% this year, benefiting from unprecedented global stimulus and near-zero interest rates.

Non-energy commodities could see an “immediate upside” as the market balances tighten ahead of expectations on strong demand from China and weather-driven risks, the Goldman Sachs analysts said.

The bank maintained a “neutral” view on commodities in the near term and “overweight” in the medium term.

Reporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Amy Caren Daniel



To: carranza2 who wrote (164031)10/22/2020 3:29:29 PM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation

Recommended By
sense

  Respond to of 218073
 
Now clearer who the powerful players we were arrayed against, per people-power tactics, just piling on to overwhelm

Added to naked short call against David’s affiliate company PENN, December wager, just to sate the need for fidget satisfaction

I like Portnoy as much as I adore Musk



Human wave can work, especially as the Fed was funding them

bloomberg.com

Robinhood’s Addictive App Made Trading a Pandemic Pastime

Now the platform has to make money from its devoted fans.

More stories by Annie Massa
October 22, 2020, 5:00 PM GMT+8
On March 2, just before offices shuttered across the U.S., the staff at Robinhood Markets Inc. worked long after sunset in their Menlo Park, Calif., headquarters. Executives huddled around co-founder Vlad Tenev, then disbanded to bring orders back to their teams. The company faced an emergency: A systemwide outage had disabled its online trading app throughout one of the stock market’s busiest days in months.

Spooked by the early spread of Covid-19, U.S. stocks had gone through a harrowing sell-off and then surged back. Robinhood’s malfunction consigned its customers to the sidelines while more than 14 billion shares of U.S. equities changed hands. Although Robinhood managed to restore the app’s service, its handling of the episode angered customers and drew an inquiry from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Bloomberg reported in August. (Both the regulator and Robinhood declined to comment on any investigations.)

The incident was the first tremor in what would become a prolonged period of turbulence for the online brokerage. It had several disruptions to trading and data from March through June, which sounds like a disaster for an upstart trying to draw customers away from Charles Schwab Corp. and ETrade Financial and to position itself as the money app for millennials and Generation Z.

But no: Robinhood would become one of the Covid economy’s breakout successes. Americans marooned at home binge-watched Netflix shows, went shopping on Amazon Prime, and discovered day trading on their mobile phones. “Robinhood traders” became the shorthand explanation for the frenzy of often speculative retail investing in the pandemic lockdowns.

Retail Equity Trading VolumeShares

Data: Bloomberg Intelligence estimates based on company filings

It’s the kind of moment when companies seize the chance to go big. For Robinhood, though, the most urgent need is to get it right—to prove it can manage a simple online trading platform and overcome a reputation for poor customer service. It’s paused efforts to expand into Europe and Asia.

Instead, the company has been on a hiring spree for support staff and is focusing on making its technology more dependable. “Over the next few months, you’ll continue to see the results of all of that work that we’ve been putting in,” Tenev says in a video chat. He wears his hair shoulder-length, and like a lot of guys in these pandemic days, he’s sporting some facial hair—in this case, a goatee. “There’s a lot more coming.”

So what’s Robinhood’s next act? The core product—stock trading on a fun gamelike phone app—is both controversial and widely imitated. Founded in 2013, Robinhood courted long-ignored small-dollar and novice investors by charging zero commissions on trades. It later offered fractional stocks that allow people who can’t afford, say, the almost $3,200 price of a single Amazon.com Inc. share to buy just a piece of one instead. None of that’s unusual anymore: Free trading is now the industry standard, and Schwab made “stock slices” available in June.

But free stock trading was supposed to be an entry point—not, by itself, the business that earned Robinhood a valuation of $11.7 billion in its most recent venture capital funding round. Robinhood enticed big VC investors such as Sequoia Capital with the promise that “customers will grow with us,” according to a 2019 pitch deck seen by Bloomberg. In a slide that said “creating relationships to last generations,” the company said each customer’s value should increase over time. The first-time stock buyer can eventually graduate to using services the company has yet to offer, including individual retirement accounts, mortgage lending, car and rental insurance, and life insurance.

Robinhood’s Valuation Based on Private Funding RoundsData: Blooomberg reporting

Robinhood could be under even more pressure to prove it can extend beyond free trades if it goes public. The company’s unexpected growth this year has likely pulled the prospect of an initial public offering closer, though those plans aren’t imminent, says a senior employee at one of Robinhood’s VC backers, speaking on the condition of anonymity. Tenev says he envisions Robinhood as a “large, independent public company” one day, without commenting on the timeline.

In a more tranquil market, it’s easy to imagine a gradual transition from deep-discount stock broker to financial supermarket for the mass affluent. (It’s the path Schwab blazed decades ago.) But Robinhood has to show it can keep its burgeoning customer base happy even as it tries to coax it to the next level.

Millennials’ share of Robinhood’s assets under management, in 2019: 80%

In attracting users, Robinhood has been incredibly effective. It has more than 13 million customers, 3 million of whom signed up in the first four months of the year. That’s well above the 5.8 million retail accounts as of the end of June at ETrade, a company with an almost 40-year track record. Robinhood’s account balances are more modest than those at other large brokerages, says a person familiar with the company. In June it reported that average daily trades exceeded 4 million, blowing past all other brokerage rivals at a time when retail trading was booming.

Along the way, Robinhood has challenged industry conventions. It brought the compulsive, viral loops that govern our lives on Instagram and Twitter into the financial realm. The app is neatly in sync with Robinhood’s mostly millennial-age customer base: About 80% of its assets under management come from millennial users, the 2019 pitch deck says. Half of new Robinhood customers this year were first-time investors, the company said in May.

“Wall Street people don’t love this—it’s legalized gambling”

Will Sartain, 19, is part of Robinhood’s fan base. His father tried to teach him about the stock market, but he never took much interest in it. That changed around late February, he says. Sartain, a student at Ohio State University, normally spent about $50 a week betting on football games, including his college team or the New England Patriots. With live sports canceled, he found himself enticed to trade stocks and options.

Now he logs on to Robinhood about once or twice an hour when markets are open to check his holdings. “I would get a nice rush from sports betting,” Sartain says. “When I started putting the money into Robinhood, then I started feeling that same rush.”



Photographer: Caroline Tompkins for Bloomberg Businessweek
Robinhood’s app emphasizes social interaction by using the possibility of getting a free share of stock in exchange for inviting friends to sign up. You have a tiny chance of snagging a high-price glamour stock such as Apple Inc., Robinhood says, if your friend signs up and links a bank account. If you find your well of investment ideas running dry—or perhaps don’t know where to start—you can browse the 100 most-held stocks among fellow Robinhood users for inspiration.

Some of Robinhood’s explosive growth may derive from a stock market entertainment ecosystem that’s suddenly risen alongside it. David Portnoy, founder of the website and podcast empire Barstool Sports, is perhaps the most notorious retail ringleader, pulling stunts like using Scrabble tiles to find stock tickers to invest in. He has no relationship with Robinhood, but they share a youthful audience with a taste for trading. “Wall Street people don’t love this—it’s legalized gambling,” says Portnoy. “That’s really how I view it. Just like sports betting is entertainment, I think the stock market is entertainment. I don’t think there’s anything wrong with that.”

A growing number of influencers on social media also promote Robinhood. TikTok videos under #robinhoodstocks have 8 million views. These include people such as Errol Coleman, who says he’s been taking time off from Adams State University in Colorado since May to focus on investing. To his more than 200,000 TikTok followers and over 6,000 YouTube subscribers, he offers explainers on everything from spotting a short squeeze to penny stocks.

Robinhood traders can, at times, move markets. They famously piled into Hertz Global Holdings Inc. in early June, and shares of the bankrupt car rental company began to surge. As trading volume in Hertz mushroomed, the number of Robinhood traders holding the stock swelled to 160,000 at one point—about 100,000 more than the month earlier.

It was crazy—shareholders of bankrupt companies generally get wiped out—but when the stock was trading for less than a dollar, maybe it was also fun for some traders to make a bet that things could hardly get any worse. There’s a very visible subset of Robinhood customers with a taste for risks once considered exotic. Options trading—in essence, a way to magnify both potential gains and losses on stock moves— exploded in popularityamong smaller traders this year. Robinhood helped set the stage for that when it began offering free options trades in 2017.

“We don’t do confetti all of the time”

Robinhood embraces the idea that investing should be accessible and, yes, thrilling. Its executives often deploy the Silicon Valley-ism that using their product should be “delightful,” a word not normally associated with securities investing.

Critics say Robinhood’s app encourages users to see investing like a game. Investors are congratulated for their first trade with a confetti animation on their app. “It’s like playing poker—as long as you have a little money, you can sit down and start competing,” says Charles Rotblut, vice president for the American Association of Individual Investors.



Featured in Bloomberg Businessweek, Oct. 26, 2020. Subscribe now.
Photographer: Andrew Spear for Bloomberg Businessweek
Academic research has shown that the more actively self-guided investors trade, the worse they tend to perform. Most of those studies were done before the death of brokerage commissions, a major drag on traders’ performance. But at the same time costs have fallen, markets have, if anything, gotten faster and more competitive. Anyone trading from a phone app is trying to outwit increasingly sophisticated pros on the other side of the bet. It’s still not an even matchup.

Robinhood and its venture backers maintain that such worries are elitist. “There’s really a notion that it’s gambling or gaming if you’re new to the market, but it’s investing if you’re wealthy,” says Gretchen Howard, Robinhood’s chief operating officer. She also says the gamelike aspects of the app have been overblown. “We don’t do confetti all of the time,” Howard says. “I don’t think because you celebrate a moment of participating in the market” that that’s “become a game.”

Co-founders Tenev, 33, and Baiju Bhatt, 35, who met as students at Stanford, started out by working with big-money investors. Before creating Robinhood, they ran a hedge fund called Celeris, using high-frequency trading strategies, and a software company, Chronos Research, that catered to algorithmic traders.

While this seems a world away from Robinhood, high-speed trading firms are part of what makes free retail investing possible. A subset of these firms makes money essentially by processing brokerages’ trades, earning money on the tiny “spread” between the price an investor is willing to pay for a stock and the price someone will sell it for. They earn enough that they’ll pay brokerages for sending trades their way, a practice known as payment for order flow. Hence, Robinhood was born with a built-in revenue stream.

Tenev and Bhatt hold weekly all-hands meetings where any Robinhood employee can ask questions about the company’s trajectory and business plan. In a recurring bit, one co-founder will ask the other for a refresher on Robinhood’s mission. The answer is always the same: making finance more accessible to all.

As is typical of Silicon Valley businesses, accessibility is tied to relying on technology, not human beings. The app provides no phone number for customer service. (It offered one years ago, but the number was removed, according to a person familiar with the business.) The company boasted in its pitch deck that it had 23,700 customers per employee while Schwab had 595. It told prospective VC investors it would use “great product design” to achieve “viral adoption,” at a time when they were running a team of about 600 employees. Its approximately 1,000-person roster now is still lean compared with the more than 22,000 at Schwab, the industry’s heavyweight with branches across the country.

Thai Gaon made his first couple trades on Robinhood four years ago after a friend sent him a referral code to start an account and get a free share of stock. He resumed trading on it this year, and though he’s a dedicated customer, he says “the customer service is totally awful.” Robinhood customers often complain that there’s no one to call when the app is down or they have a question about their accounts. Tenev says Robinhood has an “insane customer focus” and constantly reviews how it provides service. “Historically, we felt that the best way to provide our service at scale and to answer people’s questions has been through email,” Tenev says. “It’s not a silver bullet to just add a phone number.”

That attitude has caused some of Robinhood’s biggest boosters to defect. JJ Buckner, 29, runs a YouTube channel focused on investing, which he’s turned into his full-time job since August. Viewership on his videos started to spike in March with titles including My 28 Robinhood Dividend Stock Portfolio and 5 Stocks I’m Buying During This Stock Market Crash, getting tens of thousands of hits. He started selling mugs and hoodies emblazoned with the words “Drink Beer. Buy Stocks.”



Photographer: Antonio Harris
On Oct. 14, Buckner announced he’d left the Robinhood platform and switched to Fidelity Investments Inc.’s. His main gripes: The customer service is poor, the app seems to go on the fritz a lot, and a recent hacking incident in which almost 2,000 Robinhood accounts were compromised leaves him worried. “I will just sleep better at night knowing I have my account with a more reputable brokerage that has been doing this for a very long time,” Buckner says.

Robinhood says the hacking attacks were not a breach of its own system but resulted from cyber criminals gaining access to customer emails affiliated with their Robinhood accounts. Victims vented on Twitter and LinkedIn, with some saying they didn’t believe the problem was with their email. Without an emergency phone number to call, they said, they were helpless as thousands of dollars disappeared from their accounts. “If we determine through our investigation that the customer has sustained losses because of unauthorized activity, we will compensate the customer fully for those losses,” a Robinhood spokesperson says.

In the first half of 2020, U.S. consumer protection agencies received more than 400 grievances about Robinhood, or about four times that of competitors such as Schwab and Fidelity, Bloomberg reported in August. Frustrated customers fumed about outages and a lack of support. Robinhood responded by saying it had doubled its customer service staff and was hiring hundreds more, as well as improving the reliability of its platform.

A tragic incident earlier this year drew attention to some of the perils of introducing novices to complex markets. Alexander Kearns, 20, committed suicide in June after his Robinhood account showed a negative balance of more than $700,000, according to a series of tweets from his cousin-in-law Bill Brewster. In a note Kearns left, he said he had “no clue” what he was doing. Brewster said he believes Kearns only saw the losses on part of a multistep options trade but not the final outcome and misinterpreted what he owed. In a statement, Tenev and Bhatt said they were “personally devastated” by what happened, and the company has made changes to its app to make options trading easier to understand.

Robinhood’s attempts to move beyond trading so far have been bumpy. Last year the company abruptly withdrew an application for a banking charter, which would have allowed it to provide its own debit cards and accounts insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. It currently works with outside banks to provide a debit card and FDIC protections on its cash management product. In 2018 the company botched the rollout of a different checking and savings product it was planning. It said the Securities Investor Protection Corp. would insure customers’ money. But the SIPC only protects assets in brokerage accounts in limited cases when a broker fails and doesn’t offer the kind of blanket protection against losses that bank customers are used to getting from the FDIC. The SIPC said Robinhood hadn’t contacted it before announcing the plan.

Tenev bristles at the notion his customers are all twitchy-thumbed day traders: “A very small percentage of our customers are engaging in day trading and active trading.” He says that lots of them are making recurring investments in the market, using fractional shares. That points to an intriguing possibility. With zero commissions and the ability to buy tiny pieces of a stock, small investors could, in principle, use Robinhood and its imitators to build for themselves the kinds of low-cost, diversified portfolios they once had to get from fund companies such as Vanguard Group Inc. and BlackRock Inc.

There’s certainly a market—and an audience—for that approach. Kamilah O’Brien, 40, runs a YouTube channel called Focused Spender, where she shares personal finance tips on topics such as saving for an emergency and getting out of debt. But a video she made about investing $500 across several stocks in a Robinhood account is by far her most popular with 612,000 views. “I don’t like to just do investing videos—but investing videos tend to do much better,” says O’Brien. “I have my initial investment with Robinhood, but I don’t go back and actively trade.”



Kamilah O’Brien

Photographer: Precious O’Brien

Right now, trading is still important to Robinhood’s business model. Last year the company expected to make most of its revenue from sheer trading volume through payment for order flow, from which it anticipated receiving $180 million. The practice is legal and common, but Robinhood didn’t widely publicize it until October 2018, days before Bloomberg News reported it as a significant revenue stream for the company. The SEC is now investigating Robinhood’s disclosures; the company declined to comment on the inquiry.

Detractors say such payments raise conflict-of-interest issues by encouraging the routing of client orders to the trading firm that pays the most, rather than to the one that gets the best price. SEC rules require that brokers seek the best combination of price, speed, and reliability. Regulators already dinged Robinhood once on its practices around payment for order flow. The company agreed to pay a $1.25 million fine to settle charges with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, which oversees brokerage firms, for not being vigilant enough in ensuring customers were getting the best possible execution of equity orders for about a one-year period through November 2017, an accusation Robinhood neither admitted nor denied.

As Robinhood seeks to convince its users that it can be more than just a trading app, it may face difficulties outgrowing its cowboy image. Mo Calestini, 32, deactivated his account after he landed as an assistant financial adviser at a large U.S. bank, which doesn’t allow him to use an outside broker. He says he’d be glad to return, though he would be unlikely to use it for anything beyond trading. “Day trading is mostly what I want to use it for,” he says. “Eventually, I would take whatever profits or proceeds to a more secure account.” —With Sophie Alexander, Ben Bain, and Rob Schmidt

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To: carranza2 who wrote (164031)10/27/2020 5:27:45 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218073
 
Re DRD

Message 33006148 news flow is positive

And I closed short positions November Puts strike-15 at 3.30. The position had cost basis of 2.52, so lost 0.78

Opened positions short December Puts strikes 12.5 and 10, averaging 0.83, to make up for above loss, and a bit of walk-around, and lowering prospective put pricing. So all right.

Trimmed short November Calls strike-15 at 85% profit, lowering overall DRD cost basis and have more in-obligated shares to write calls against in landing crafts for tomorrow or next week. I account for most of the outstanding open short contracts, soon to expire totally worthless on my counterparty. My basis is 1.67, now valued at 0.25.

Volatility is not just a friend, but a good friend.



Remaining on the lines in battle-scape