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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sense who wrote (164055)10/21/2020 10:32:16 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217752
 
Re <<Like the slower ... requires first understanding whats driving the patterns that you can see are changing... ?>>

love your take

shall recalibrate as progressing

crazy or as they say, bat-crazy corona times



To: sense who wrote (164055)10/21/2020 10:58:28 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217752
 
sense, you should remember from your HK days to know that some of the nicest stand-alone abodes in HK in off-the-beaten paths locales are owned by exceeding well-paid pilot, and

a situation has developed in airline extinction-level reset - am pondering the unknown and unknowables

let's see if value shows up in this space thepropertyshop.com.hk or that arena hk.asiatatler.com

the current levels should not hold when so many pilots get fired in one swift go

or elsewhere, and as all can be funded by shorting TSLA, the situation is worth delving into

at the end of the night HK shall have a flagship airline, and pilots get paid what the pilots get paid whenever situation normal however normal defined

bloomberg.com

Hong Kong’s Property Market Takes Fresh Hit From Cathay Job Cuts

Shawna Kwan

Calls from laid off Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd. pilots began arriving at OKAY Property Agency Ltd. not long after the Hong Kong airline announced one of the biggest job cuts in global aviation.

The cull that affected more than 5,000 Cathay employees on Wednesday has forced some to find cheaper housing or leave Hong Kong altogether. It’s a painful blow for one of the city’s biggest workforces, and yet another hit for a property market under pressure from political turmoil and a pandemic-induced recession.

Vacancies for apartments priced at HK$65,000 ($8,387) a month or more had already been rising in Discovery Bay, a neighborhood about 30 minutes from the airport that’s home to many pilots, said Nina Schulte-Mattler, a senior manager in the residential division of OKAY Property. In Tung Chung, another area popular among Cathay employees, about 60 renters have surrendered their leases over the past three months, according to Joe Lee, a senior area sales manager at Midland Realty.

“I’ve never seen so many people giving up their rented apartments in my career,” Lee said. “Local crew members who were let go or had their salaries cut are terminating their leases.”

Hong Kong’s flagship airline had introduced an unpaid leave program for staff earlier in the year as monthly losses climbed to as much as HK$3 billion. In addition to announcing the job cuts on Wednesday, it said executive pay reductions will continue and a third voluntary leave plan for ground staff will be introduced in the first half of next year.

Read more about Cathay Pacific job cuts, overhaul here

The layoffs and compensation cuts will weigh on demand in one of the world’s most expensive housing markets, especially after the city recorded the highest jobless rate in 15 years in September.

Rental prices in Tung Chung have dropped 5% since the start of the year and may fall another 3% in the fourth quarter, according to Lee. The majority of rental demand in the neighborhood comes from airline crew members, employees with logistics companies, and other professionals related to aviation.

The industry is also well represented in Discovery Bay, popular for its tree-lined streets and waterfront apartments.

Some landlords in the area are now happy to find takers at HK$85,000 for properties previously going for HK$110,000, Schulte-Mattler said. A few pilots who used to lease those high-end units have left Hong Kong for jobs elsewhere or retired early, she said. Others have downsized to the HK$40,000 to HK$60,000 price range, where demand is more stable.

Senior employees of Cathay Pacific or its subsidiary Cathay Dragon can receive HK$60,000 to HK$100,000 in monthly housing allowances, said Rickie So, a property agent with Century 21 Newcourt Realty in Discovery Bay. He’s seen about 50 properties in that price range drop their rent by 15% to 20% in the last two months in anticipation of layoffs. Newer pilots have been renting for HK$15,000 to HK$20,000.

Further price cuts could start emerging in a couple of months, So said.

Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal.
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To: sense who wrote (164055)10/22/2020 1:52:54 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217752
 
Decided to revert to full order of battle, and more, by lowering strikes, and extending also into Jan - Mar of 2021. Have capacity to increase amounts wagering for Jan - Mar but wait & see. Expect off to the races 3rd November but am net short, believed safely but cannot know. Market seems unhinging. Just a feel.

Have also put in rear-guard units at the (long) Call February strike-780 mark just in case, and use to play any bounce

The earlier 80% closure of short call positions, in hindsight, was costly given the ~50% collapse in call premium over the few hours. No matter, for the majority of the overall profit was already captured. The TSLA counter feels weak, with the market reaction to earnings essentially a yawn, so far.

Oh, yes, forgot, also added to GBTC. It is useless and all that, buy am told pattern looks good.

finance.yahoo.com