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Pastimes : Ask Mohan about the Market -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: tekgk who wrote (13614)	1/30/1998 9:40:00 AM
From: paul ross	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 18056

US domestic CPI, however you may consider govt. statistics, has more closely followed increases in M1 than M3. The lower CPI increases of the last 2 years more closely resemble the -.3%, -4.4% M1 decreases (for 97 and 96) than the 8.4%, 7.1% increases in M3. Too, the higher CPI increases of the early 90's are more in line with the 4.4% to 8.1% M1 rise than the M3 growth of from .4% to 1.7%. CPI increase (M1 growth) appears to lag M3 growth by anywhere from 1 to 3 yrs. However long it takes for the recent 11% to show up, it will sure make for some "interesting" times PR