To: tero kuittinen who wrote (7755 ) 1/30/1998 5:10:00 AM From: John Cuthbertson Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
Tero, Wow, that was a long one. Must feel good to get that off your chest! Seriously, I just wanted to respond briefly to a couple of points. First, it's certainly true that the rate of uptake of digital vs. analog mobile phones has been slower in the U.S. than in Europe, but I don't think that's really attributable to dumb American consumers being confused by multiple standards. In fact, digital systems were introduced later here at least partly because they provided less of an advantage over analog than was the case in Europe. Here, you could use your AMPS phone anywhere across the whole continent, which was NOT the case with analog phones in Europe. (So perhaps in the analog case, "one standard" was our advantage rather than Europe's). Digital systems are still just coming on to the market here, even those based on the old GSM system. Consumers being "confused" by the availability of multiple standards is in my opinion a non-issue. People for the most part are not going to care what standards their phone complies with, only where they can use it. Soon enough, for all the choices, the answer to that question will be "everywhere". Also, you said: "CDMA phones are not catching up with the technological innovations of their GSM counterparts. How could they? R&D investment in the GSM sector is ten times higher than in CDMA sector." Well, it's true that there are some cool phones built for the GSM standard. BUT, all of those features you talk about that make certain models "advanced," whether long battery life or cool displays, have NOTHING to do with the GSM vs. CDMA air interface. I think I've said before that I expect that Nokia will be building CDMA phones with all of those nifty features, which will give them formidable products with which to compete in the CDMA market. Finally, I think you're a little early in proclaiming the "new European/Asian standard." Remember that NTT is not the only voice in Japan that will count. The Japanese cdmaOne carriers are going to care about compatibility with any next generation standard, and the Japanese bureaucracy have said that this should be a requirement. Also, you seem to forget about Korea when talking about Asia. Well, I see I've failed to achieve my goal of brevity. Oh well. Good night and good luck. ==John