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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Ron who wrote (456526)	10/30/2020 10:52:28 AM
From: Cautious_Optimist	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 541768

I hope so. Trump has said he won't accept the results if he loses. The chaos/shitshow is ready if he and his cult choose. Trump bullshits, but he doesn't bluff and ALWAYS shows his hand thinking it is a form of power. There is a reasoned probability that parts of the US will be violent after the election -- and the left will be blamed of course. I would put the probability of peaceful and just transition at 51%. Being cautious, but optimistic...

To: Ron who wrote (456526)	10/30/2020 2:23:34 PM
From: Sam	1 Recommendation Recommended By JohnM Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 541768

If these numbers hold, Biden will win the presidency and the Democrats will win the Senate. Poll: Biden leads Trump by six in North Carolina Democratic Senate candidate Cal Cunningham holds a 10 point advantage despite a recent scandal, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll. Oct. 30, 2020, 1:00 PM EDT By Carrie Dann WASHINGTON — Joe Biden holds a modest six-point lead with likely voters over President Donald Trump in the hard-fought swing state of North Carolina, a new NBC/Marist poll shows. Among likely voters, Biden’s support stands at 52 percent, compared to 46 percent for the incumbent president. (Among all registered voters in the state, the former vice president’s lead is similar, at 51 percent to Trump’s 46 percent.) Biden’s edge is within the poll’s margin of error of +/-4.7 percentage points for likely voters and +/-4.1 percentage points for registered voters. (A +/-4.7 margin of error means that pollsters believe each candidate’s actual vote percentage could be as much as 4.7 percentage points higher or lower). The poll also shows a 10-point advantage for Democratic Senate candidate Cal Cunningham, who hopes to oust first-term GOP incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis. Cunningham gets the support of 53 percent of likely voters, while Tillis gets 43 percent — an advantage outside the margin of error — despite Cunningham facing an infidelity scandal which had threatened to upend the race. Cunningham’s lead is identical among registered voters. continues at nbcnews.com