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To: sense who wrote (164661)11/2/2020 9:41:28 PM
From: arun gera1 Recommendation

Recommended By
marcher

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218560
 
<But, just as wrong are the "it was a huge problem before... so its just as much of a problem now" crowd.>

You are missing the point. Just trying to determine where the herd immunity is. I am assuming deaths per million is a better indicator of the spread of infection as so many are asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic to be trackable. Assuming that the areas with the most extreme death rates in the beginning (Queens, NYC) got closest to herd immunity, what would that mark be in the rest of USA where the infection spread later. So I have to divide the initial rate by 4,as the death rate is now 1/4th now for the hospitalized patients. So about 1000 covid deaths per million is roughly where equivalent herd immunity would be.for areas affected later in the pandemic.

-Arun