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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Snowshoe who wrote (164685)	11/3/2020 10:41:19 AM
From: marcher	1 Recommendation Recommended By Snowshoe Respond to of 217749

per 538 swing states poll and margin of error... back of envelope calculation... wisconsin is the only state that is significantly likely to go biden... the rest are statistical toss-ups.

To: Snowshoe who wrote (164685)	11/3/2020 10:45:13 AM
From: marcher	1 Recommendation Recommended By maceng2 Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217749

presidential bets and odds from today... folks buying trump odds since last night:

To: Snowshoe who wrote (164685)

11/10/2020 3:54:38 AM

From: Snowshoe

Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217749

Here's an update to my pre-election poll table, with a new column for
current results (as of 11/9/2020 with ~98% of ballots counted)...

	Trafalgar	Politico	538.com	Results
AZ	R +2.3	D +4	D +2.8	D +0.44
FL	R +2.1	D +1	D +2.5	R +3.0
GA	R +6.5*	D +1	D +1.2	D +0.25
MI	R +1.5	D +8	D +7.9	D +3.0
MN	D +2.2	D +11	D +9.2	D +7.0
NC	R +1.9	D +3	D +1.8	R +1.4
PA	R +0.9	D +5	D +4.7	D +0.67
WI	D +0.7	D +9	D +8.4	D +0.62

*Last poll was in July.

Sources:

thetrafalgargroup.org

politico.com

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

nytimes.com