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Non-Tech : Wal-Mart -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Terror who wrote (320)2/6/1998 1:36:00 PM
From: Ken Turetzky  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1166
 
DLJ Retail Report:

WAL-MART (WMT: $42 13/16)#
Rating: Market Performance

EPS Estimates 1/97A 1/98E 1/99E P/E 1/98E 1/99E
$1.33 $1.54 $1.75 27.8x 24.5x

In January, Wal-Mart's comp sales robustly increased at the discount stores
(up 7.6% and above expectations) and Sam's Club (up 2.7% and in-line with
expectations). With robust fourth quarter results, a good merchandise mix,
and solid sell through of inventory, there is a possibility that the
company can beat our $0.55 fourth quarter estimate by a penny or two. Not
surprising, this stock continues to rise as it represents the safety that
investors are looking for as they search out retailers. February comps are
expected to be in the mid-single digits at the discount stores and in the
low single digits at Sam's.

Overall, January sales were on the high end of expectations. The post-
holiday sales were good, as WMT's holiday merchandise was cleaned out,
making room for the new Spring merchandise. Cold weather product sales
improved from the Christmas season, but not as much as in the previous
year, as ice storms in the Northeast and Canada drove cold weather
merchandise sales at the expense of several temporary store closings. By
division, the discount stores has sales above expectations, but the
weighting in the month and quarter mitigated expense leveraging. Strong
product lines included consumables, food, electronics, and apparel at the
discount stores. The Clubs reported sales in-line with expectations as
food, appliances, and apparel sold well. Membership sales outpaced overall
sales growth for the month, reflecting the value members associate with the
clubs. Internationally, Canada experienced strong double digit growth
despite the ice storms, while Puerto Rico and China (later Chinese New
Year) had good sales growth.

Schroder & Co.

TABLE 3: SALES BY COMPANY
Company Actual Comments
WAL-MART 6.4% Comfortable with above-consensus EPS
($43, "2" RATED) estimate of $0.56 (versus $0.48).
Discount Stores 7.6% Above planned 5%-6% range
contributing to good clean up of
clearance merchandise. Supercenters
comped in line with the discount
stores. Inventories were down on a
comparable-store basis at the end of
the quarter.