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To: DX who wrote (32709)1/31/1998 8:34:00 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
Benhamou: RBOCs are slow and plodding

By Adam Gaffin
Network World Fusion, 1/27/98

Washington, D.C. - 3Com Chairman Eric Benhamou today slammed RBOCs as
slow dinosaurs that could hold up the next generation of networking.

In a keynote at ComNet, Benhamou generally painted a rosy
future in which today's data networks become the sole conduits
for all networked traffic, including voice and video.

However, he acknowledged the network industry first has to do a
better job making today's existing data networks perform better.
He said his customers don't really want to hear about the future
yet. They want to know what he's going to do about the fact that
their existing networks are already too complex.

Benhamou said one answer is policy-based networks, in which network devices
make decisions on how to route or switch packets based on policies defined in
advance by users. He predicted that within two years, 25% of enterprise networks will consist solely of
these "converged" systems.

But he said RBOCs, which still play a critical role in the WAN, are holding up progress. In part, this is
because they are still subject to complex, cumbersome and often conflicting state and federal regulations.

He pointed to the slow pace of competition in the local loop. Expecting RBOCs to invest heavily in
next-generation hardware while giving away access at cost to competitors is an "unnatural process," he
said. But RBOCs, sheltered from competion for decades, wouldn't know how to compete, anyway, he said,
predicting they will eventually end up "withering away around their legacy businesses."

Benhamou said this is why consumers may not get high-speed Internet access such as asymmetric digital
subscriber line (ADSL) service to the home as fast as they might. He pointed specifically to .

3Com is a member of a consortium, announced yesterday, to draft specifications for 1.5M bit/sec home
ADSL. While modem and computer vendors will deliver their gear quickly, consumers will have to wait
for the RBOCs to install the required central-office equipment, he said. "I'm not holding my breath"
waiting for quick RBOC adoption of the technology," he said. Even though it will be easier to impliment
than ISDN, he said the telcos would still experience considerable implementation difficulties.

Benhamou also discussed the role of applications on the new smart networks. Today, most applications
cannot interface with network intelligence - they are limited to such simple requests as "send data" and
"receive data." In the future, he said, applications will have to tap into the policies running the network, so
that a user could request that a large file be compressed before being downloaded or that an incoming
video feed be giving priority over e-mail.



To: DX who wrote (32709)1/31/1998 8:37:00 AM
From: Bald Eagle  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
<<ASND's PE is about 30 for now.>>
Since it's projected growth rate varies between 20% and 35%, I guess the PE is about right. Maybe I should be selling some more covered calls if the price isn't going to move much.