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Technology Stocks : SSA (SSAX) BPCS/Client Server -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MAURICE J. SADOWSKY who wrote (522)2/1/1998 10:55:00 AM
From: kvogel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 915
 
Maurice,
SSAX ought to hire you since you work 24 hrs a day. BAANF is overpriced by my
standards and in fact DLJ downgraded it on Fri just as Sal Sm Barn upgraded. Their
sales increase of 65 % is spectactular but they are moving into other areas and
acquisitions bolstered these figures. I believe fair value for SSAX at present is about 15
just based on .65 earnings and a 23% growth rate. It will get there for 3 reasons:

1. With Struek at the helm they will meet or exceed the 23% growth rate. Since they
have good products marketing and sales are vehicles for growth and I agree that IBM will be depending on SSAX to keep their sales up.

2. H&Q knows how important consistency in growth and visibility are to the stock
market. I'm sure they will make this point over and over again. This is essential for
upgrades.

3. Financials are under control and no longer creating "extraordinary expenses". Also the
pressure of getting loans such as the one from CA which created 3.6 million extra shares for 10 million bucks won't be happening. The company could actually buy some shares
back with its war chest which would be a good investment since the covertibles will be
exerciseable for $18. a share.

Karl



To: MAURICE J. SADOWSKY who wrote (522)2/2/1998 9:15:00 AM
From: kvogel  Respond to of 915
 
Maurice, Just posted:
DAVOS-SAP sees 1998 sales up 30-35 pct

DAVOS, Switzerland, Feb 2 (Reuters) - German software group SAP AG (SAPG.F) expects sales growth of 30 to 35 percent in 1998, down from 62 percent the year before, executive board speaker Hasso Plattner said on Monday.

Plattner said SAP expected the slowdown because of the effects of the Asia crisis on its corporate customers and slower software sales in general due to concerns about the millennium bug issue.

The point is that they are still expecting 30-35 % growth and as you pointed out SSAX systems are Y2K compliant.

Karl