To: John Arnopp who wrote (1055 ) 2/2/1998 4:27:00 PM From: still learning Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4467
I think the spreadsheet speaks for itself. I have a couple comments though, and quite a few questions: The stealth investments (TL, other VC funds) are making it harder for NAV to be fully reflected. We are also seeing a greater number of small positions taken by SFE thru e.g. Pennsylvania Early Stage Partners, the new $50 million venture fund, a collaboration between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, the $40 billion Pennsylvania Public School Employees' Retirement System. What is SFE's position and what does it contribute? How do we assess spin-offs from spinoffs? (There are a few examples like CVSN, XL Vision, LASX, etc.) CATP has mad a major move upward, but the other major holding -- CCSC, SCAI, have had such major setback that we have not seen a synchronized run-up. Is this a function of greater diversity of holdings? Or are we waiting till all of them run at once? I do not yet know. CMPC keeps bouncing up and down. TESI made some big gains, but now seems stuck in a narrow range. The Rights offerings seem to take much longer to take off lately. SCAI was dead for nearly a year, then took off like a rocket. OAOT is still dead 3 months later. Is this a sign of things to come, or was the market just holding back the value of good companies? SFE still stands well below its all-time high. I thought we would at least be in the $40 range by now and am a bit confused. They have a number of good companies, but the offerings have had such a time lag before they show value that SFE does not get the boost it once did from them. That means it operates much more like a mutual fund with NAV drivig everything. This has led IMHO to an extreme undervaluation of non-public companies. That, plus the fact that TEch is so volatile of late, seem to me to indicate we will not see non-public holdings highly valued for some time. Net/net: it's all riding on the 5-6 public companies that make oup 80% of the valuation.