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Biotech / Medical : Immunomedics (IMMU) - moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stockdoc77 who wrote (59152)	12/23/2020 10:49:35 AM
From: stockdoc77	Respond to of 63329

Per WorldOMeter, there are 7.4 million active cases in the US currently. Not sure how they determine that, but assuming it is in the ballpark, that is much higher than we would want even if we reach herd immunity threshold in the next 4-5 months.

To: stockdoc77 who wrote (59152)	12/23/2020 3:04:19 PM
From: allatwwk	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 63329

stockdoc. Looking at R, I'm thinking this is the way to figure out how much COVID is left to deal with once R goes below 1. If R=.5 (1/2), then the number of COVID cases which will occur is essentially the sum of the series, 1/2 + 1/4 +1/8+1/16 ... which equals 1. So if there are 5 million cases and R=0.5, there will be another 5 million cases to go. But if R=0.9, then the series is 0.9+0.81+0.729 ... which means if there are 5 million active cases, there 10's of million more cases still to go. It really speaks to the need to be very aggressive in driving R down as fast and as furiously as possible. And since our behavior has a lot to do with R, the way we act collectively will remain a big part of the story. The one thing which is clear, just because you get R below 1, doesn't mean it will stay there.