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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: koan who wrote (461986)12/23/2020 11:10:54 AM
From: stsimon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 542114
 
It's Georgia, not Massachusetts.



To: koan who wrote (461986)12/23/2020 11:21:29 AM
From: NAG1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 542114
 
koan,

I just saw the betting has the Republicans at a 2 to 1 favorite, while the polls slightly favor the dems.

At this time, I would favor the betting line over the polls. Betting line is probably based on past performance. The only caveat is that we don't know what will happen with turnout, especially Republican. The only thing that really gives me some hope is that Trump, Loeffler and Perdue have done some things that may decrease Republican turnout and Democrat early turnout has been strong. But I would still favor the Republicans in this election.



To: koan who wrote (461986)12/23/2020 12:00:21 PM
From: Ron  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 542114
 
Unfortunately there's a paucity of polling in Georgia. Big firms are not participating. But for now... the
ones that are, show the races as extremely close. Could come down to turnout on election day.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com