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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Alex MG who wrote (462608)12/30/2020 1:43:39 PM
From: epicure1 Recommendation

Recommended By
abuelita

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 543112
 
I think he was genuinely curious.



To: Alex MG who wrote (462608)12/30/2020 3:19:25 PM
From: cosmicforce  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 543112
 
The death toll is "only" ruining at a little over 0.1% of the total population presently. If you know less than 1000 people, you might not know anyone at about 68% probability. It is similar in magnitude to the estimated number of deaths from annual medical errors right now. But unlike medical errors - this can scale - as "only" a bit over 10% have gotten it.

We don't know what the mortality (or morbidity) is. If you don't die in an acute attack and recover, but in six months succumb to another illness from which you might have otherwise survived - we aren't tracking that. Nor are we tracking the long haulers.

To me - this is conjecture without data. Once you find a shard of glass in your kid's wheat flakes, the whole lot is suspect.