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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Anthony Wong who wrote (15205)1/31/1998 10:05:00 PM
From: SMALL FRY  Respond to of 70976
 
Anthony,

<<OT>>DRAM
A lot of "stories" abound, esp in this time of great uncertainty, lots of negative spins...here's a "positive" one for DRAM's:

techweb.cmp.com

I like to look at the bright side of things. Even when I'm losing.<g>

Happy investing,
SF

PS: Boy...it's getting rougher...but GO AMAT!!!



To: Anthony Wong who wrote (15205)1/31/1998 10:21:00 PM
From: Gottfried  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 70976
 
Anthony, I hope we have an industry insider who can critically
discuss the allegations in this article. Thank you for posting it.
I'm skeptical.


Part of the problem is a slowdown in demand for the
products that use chips
and, Kurlak cautioned, little
reduction in capacity going on.


He probably meant a slowing of the rate of increase
in demand. This kind of sloppy reporting is common.
I'm also very skeptical about the following
statement...


many personal computer
makers, uncertain about the future, also cleared out their
DRAM inventory
and sold it in the spot market, without
ordering more.

<snip>

By January, the DRAM producers had stopped clearing
out their inventory. "And all of the sudden PC makers
realized they did not have enough so they had to go to the
spot market," says Pang.


So PC makers sold their excess DRAM inventory at rock
bottom prices in December, only to buy it back at
higher prices in Jan?
And we're once again told that DRAMs decide the fate of
TWO industries: semiconductor makers and semi equipment
manufacturers.
I hope some poster who knows the industry can shed light
on this.

GM