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To: Gabriel008 who wrote (29003)2/1/1998 10:42:00 PM
From: jim kelley  Respond to of 176387
 
Gabriel,

I was using 356M shares.
I modeled the product mix and got a improvement in margins of about .003. Thus the impact of the Asian problem of the COGS may be higher than that but I could not really get any good estimates because I was not sure how much of the cost improvements were passed along in the form of price cuts.

Even a .1% improvement in materials costs can have a big effect on desktop profits. I guess we will have to wait and see! The model is very sensitive to any changes in the desktop costs. The model predicted 2625 as the ASP. Thus, there may be little price eroison because of the product mix effects.

Right now my best guess is .86.

Regards,

Jim Kelley