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To: EdH who wrote (26687)2/1/1998 10:50:00 PM
From: STK1  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 41046
 
I'M KEEPING THIS IN MEMOREY FOR A RAINY DAY!!

NOW THE MEDIUM IS THE
MESSAGE BOARD

Diana's wild ride shows how cyberpostings move stocks

The stock symbol for Diana Corp. is DNA--the same as the building blocks
of life itself. But lately, Diana stock has been death incarnate. In just four
weeks, this Milwaukee-based company's stock has fallen from 103 on May
28 to 39 1/4 on June 26--after climbing all the way up from 5 a year ago.
Some of the gyrations were caused by ordinary market influences. But for
much of Diana's wild ride, the stock was sent careening by a potent new
force in the markets: the power of online services.

Diana's rise was fueled by postings online--particularly America Online
Inc.'s Motley Fool electronic bulletin boards. But so was its fall--and in a
manner so troubling that it has apparently drawn the interest of regulators.
The New York Stock Exchange, where Diana's stock is listed, is
investigating trading in the stock, according to company officials. Diana
executives maintain that the company's shares were driven down by
disclosure of inside information that was posted on Motley Fool message
boards. If so, the implications could be serious for the online world, which is
getting increased scrutiny from regulators as a medium for market
manipulation. Editors of the Motley Fool, whose stock recommendations
have been hammered in recent weeks, did not return phone calls seeking
comment.

In Diana's case, the negative information posted on Motley Fool was
accurate--but premature. On June 13, a person with the AOL handle
Duke121 wrote in the Diana ''folder'' of the Motley Fool that the company
would take an $850,000 writedown in its fourth quarter on the meat
distribution business the company has been trying to sell. Without any other
major news, Diana's stock slid 8 3/4 to close the day at 77 1/4. And then, lo
and behold, 12 days later the company reported fourth-quarter financial
results--and they included an $852,000 writedown. ''That was clearly inside
information,'' says Diana Chairman Richard Y. Fisher. ''We are going to
look into how that got on the bulletin board.''

PURPORTED EXPERTS. At first glance, Diana is an unlikely company to
find in the middle of an Internet controversy. Its primary business is
distributing meat and seafood. What's driving interest in Diana is its 80%
stake in Sattel Communications Corp., which makes switches aimed at
lowering the cost of providing access to the Internet. The Motley Fool forum
is full of messages from purported experts who expound in detail on Diana's
technology. Since Diana's stock is thinly traded--only 4.1 million shares are
outstanding--the stock is more prone than most to online influence.

What has been added to that mixture in Motley Fool are alarmist comments,
both positive and negative. In February, a Fool forum participant with the
handle VALUESPEC posted a public message saying that a ''very bullish''
announcement would come in the ''not-too-distant'' future. In March, the
same author wrote that ''MCI might be interested in'' Diana. The posters of
these messages, who would not respond to E-mail queries from
BUSINESS WEEK, are anonymous AOL subscribers. VALUESPEC
describes him- or herself in a member profile as a 34-year-old owner of a
landscaping business, while Duke121 will only disclose her gender and
marital status.

Sometimes the online leads are correct, sometimes not. Diana did
announce a major deal to sell 21 switches in May, which helped its stock
rise even further. But no MCI Communications Corp. interest has
materialized. ''I think the Motley Fool postings have definitely helped drive
Diana through the stratosphere,'' says Richard Keim, whose Keim Wilson
Associates has a short position in the stock.

Since late May, the bears have had their way in the Motley Fool forum and
with Diana. On May 29, Asensio & Co., a New York research and trading
firm, posted a sell recommendation on the Motley Fool bulletin board. The
stock dropped 2 3/4, to close at 101. The next day, ''SsOprtr'' posted a
report that the Securities & Exchange Commission was looking into
possible manipulation of Diana's stock--and the stock slipped another 2 1/4.
Fisher says he knows of no SEC investigation, and the SEC declined to
comment.

The Diana saga shows that the Internet and online services are providing a
new way to discuss securities: Anonymous people who may have hidden
agendas can post any information they want, accurate or not, in a public
forum. But perhaps less has changed than meets the eye. ''The lesson is
what it's always been: Investigate before you invest,'' says Merton Miller, a
University of Chicago economist and Nobel prizewinner. Even in the new
world of cyberspace, the old lessons of investing apply.

By Peter Elstrom in Chicago