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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (170569)4/16/2021 4:55:01 PM
From: bull_dozer1 Recommendation

Recommended By
pak73

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217742
 
>> Bought starter stakes in BTG, KL, PAAS per cannot hold any longer

No crypto mining stonks ? <G>



To: TobagoJack who wrote (170569)4/16/2021 11:25:40 PM
From: sense  Respond to of 217742
 
Have reduced my list on PGEs and Gold to a smaller number... and have balanced it with a mix of scale in producers, near term developers, and underappreciated explorers with better than average potentials. If they're on my list there is a reason for it... which might be "very near to starting up a new mine"... or in the case of earlier stage companies... "a much larger than typical amount of gold" for a junior. For the explorers, same sort of thing... have to have some "kicker" to make them stand out... or at least be undervalued relative to what they have, with a high potential for "more" on the way... the high ROE producers from the prior list are here, too, with a few new ones added in that group.

Ask me why any one of them are on the list... I can probably provide some insight...

PGE's: sbsw, pgezf, kvlqf

Gold: makof, gau, cmcl, aumn, lrntf,
hmy, drd, aucoy, btg, jaggf, au,
dpmlf, ssrm, pvg, nem, skref,
obnnf, kor, augg, nfgff, krrgf,
srbif, lgdtf, tlrs, golxf

A couple not in the list that I excluded... only because they have too much gold...

Those are Perpetua (formerly Midas) PPTA and Novagold NG... both with a WHOLE lot of gold... but also fairly high costs of building a mine. But, then... they'll continue mining it for 30 to 40 years... or more...

This article from December discusses Midas/Perpetua... but includes analysis of a good number of other "ready to build a mine" stage companies. The article isn't wrong in saying raising more money is "harder"... but do note it is wrong in mistaking that for a "cost" issue ? If you get 6.5 million or 33 million ounces or more for the investment made... with costs at lower than average production costs... that's a cost argument... and a scale argument...both of which matter... but you can't expect to get 5 or 30 million ounces or more... for what it costs to build a mine to dig up a measly 1 or 2 million... ? How much gold does Novagold have ? They're not done calculating yet. They're only a 50/50 partner in the Donlin Gold JV deal with Barrick...

Two ways to play that... as NG or GOLD... Barrick is making money with an ROE of 11.75 and a yield of 1.64% but has 1.78 billion shares outstanding... trades for just over twice Nova Gold. Novagold under $10 vs $22, but has no money coming in... only 331 million shares for their half... but have a massive mine to build "at some point" before getting any. The project was well known already back in 2008... still percolating... they keep drilling... keep finding more... Twenty years of exploration... with another update to feasibility studies coming this year... and maybe now a market that finally allows it to happen.

The Donlin JV's deposit combines high grade with high grade... it has 50 meter intersections with 5 to 10 grams per ton... along with intervals that are only 4 or 5 meters containing less than 1 to more than 3 ounces per ton... leaving a lot of work to do in optimizing a mining plan.

What Perpetua adds... is that the gold occurs coincident with a world class scale antimony resource...