To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (1299915 ) 5/10/2021 12:31:46 PM From: i-node 1 RecommendationRecommended By Mick Mørmøny
Respond to of 1579318 I haven't seen anything conclusive on this. Reasonably, young people would make up a greater proportion of those who are now sick since most all old people have now been vaccinated. But it seems to me there exists a dearth of hard numbers on the nature and frequency of these events. I did look at the Greater Houston metro area's numbers. The giant Texas Medical Center here encompasses a large number of people since the hospitals effectively serve 7 million people, all under one reporting umbrella. And that includes Texas Children's as well. As you stated, the percentage of 0-9 admissions has risen over time from from around 2% to around 10%. And 10-19 from to 16.8. Meanwhile, the upper strata of the chart have shrunken over time -- 80+ ==> 20.9% to 3.9% 70-79 ==> 5.3% to 1.3% 60-69 ==> 11.7% to 7.4% Then they kind of level out until the bottom where you get 0-9 ==> 2.1% to 10% 10-19 ==> 3.2% to 16.8% So, there is no doubt hospitalizations are getting younger, at least here. OTOH, wouldn't we expect that since the vast majority of older people have now been vaccinated (or worse, many of the most susceptible have died). A "live" version of that chart is found here under "Demographics": Harris County COVID-19 Data Hub - Data and Demographics (arcgis.com) They do break down the county's age as 0-9 ==> 14.7% 10-19 ==> 14.6% . . . 60-69 ==> 9.1% 70-79 ==> 4.5% 80+ ==> 2.2% But it would far better inform the issue if they had the chart based on actual numbers rather than percentages. I know the number of hospitalizations is radically reduced over time but they don't really give you those numbers. So, my point here is that we do expect the relative frequency of young people appearing in hospitals to increase over time, but is that an increase in actual frequencies? I'm sure that data is out there, I just haven't seen it. I haven't really found where those numbers are available.