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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Julius Wong who wrote (171676)5/14/2021 12:30:42 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 219150
 
Dangerous the meme-coins …

bloomberg.com

Ethereum Founder’s $1 Billion Gift Rocks Shiba Memecoin Traders
Sophie Alexander14 May 2021, 08:09 GMT+8
A memecoin invaded the world of philanthropy this week, bringing with it extreme price volatility and bewildering questions about whether $1 billion worth of a joke cryptocurrency can hold its value.

Sandeep Nailwal, a cryptocurrency entrepreneur from New Delhi, set up the India Covid Crypto Relief Fund about three weeks ago after witnessing firsthand deaths caused by a lack of oxygen at the hospitals he volunteered in, as the country battled a devastating health crisis. At first, donations came trickling in, raising roughly $7.5 million up until the middle of this week.

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That’s when Vitalik Buterin, one of the creators of the cryptocurrency Ethereum, donated more than 50 trillion -- yes, with a T -- Shiba Inu coins, a meta joke about the joke that is Dogecoin. It has rallied more than 11,000% in the past month, and based on prices late Monday, 50 trillion of it would have been worth almost $2 billion.

But Buterin’s donation -- which represented more than 5% of the total Shiba Inu coins in circulation -- sent prices plummeting about 50% by Thursday, leaving people who had bought into it scrambling to figure out whether to sell or hold on. It’s also sparked a broader question about the value of such memecoins and whether donating cryptocurrency to charity is more trouble than it’s worth for recipients who might need immediate liquidity.

“A huge challenge here is estimating the value of the gift,” said Brian Mittendorf, an Ohio State University professor who studies nonprofits and the rise of cryptocurrency in charity. “If something is stated as being worth $1.5 billion but it can’t be liquidated, then is it really worth that amount?”

Crypto’s Wild Week

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Buterin’s gift and Shiba Inu’s wild ride are part of week during which cryptocurrencies have drowned out activity in the rest of the market. Tesla Inc. chief Elon Musk roiled prices of Bitcoin after announcing that the company would no longer accept it as a form of payment for cars due to environmental concerns. That was just a few days after the billionaire’s appearance on “Saturday Night Live,” where he joked that Dogecoin was a “hustle” and sent prices of that coin tumbling.

Despite the slump in Shiba Inu prices, the 50.7 trillion Shiba coins Buterin gifted are still worth about $1 billion based on prices as of Thursday evening. Nailwal said the fund is planning on slowly selling off the coins so it won’t affect individual investors who have begun to worry about their deflating holdings.

“Many retail traders invest their life savings in these coins,” Nailwal, who is also a co-founder of the crypto organization Polygon, said in a phone interview Thursday. Nailwal said the plan is to gradually offload hundreds of thousands or millions worth of the coin each day, as opposed to unloading it all at once, in a bid to avoid slamming prices. “We want to be careful.”

Hanging OnIndiana-based Robert Browning is a retail investor who lost thousands of dollars following the donation, but he’s not getting out just yet. He’s going to hang onto his millions of Shiba Inu coins, which make up about a quarter of his crypto holdings, and maybe even buy more.

“Crypto is not for the faint of heart,” Browning, 52, said in a phone interview, adding that he thinks everyone should increase their holdings by 25%. “Instead of complaining maybe we could take our own power back.”

Buterin, 27, was an early convert to crypto, co-founding Bitcoin Magazine in 2011 and the Ethereum network in 2014. He didn’t respond to messages seeking comment.

Buterin’s celebrity in the world of cryptocurrencies led to him being gifted various coins as a sort of promotion tactic. When Shiba Inu was created late last year, half of all coins in circulation were placed into Buterin’s digital wallet.

Its value was limited, like many of the other hundreds of tokens he owns, until the sudden rally in Dogecoin that began last month spread to the Shiba Inu coin.

Massive GainsShiba Inu coin’s remarkable surge over the past month means Buterin’s remaining holdings are worth an incredible $9.1 billion on paper, even after the recent pullback. That’s far more than the $1.2 billion of Ethereum he owns, although the price would almost certainly crash further if he sold.

Browning, the retail investor in Indiana, said he wasn’t surprised that Buterin ended up getting rid of his Shiba Inu coin and that it was a bad idea for him to have been given so much of it in the first place. In theory, taking half of the coins off the market made it more valuable, but it also made Shiba investors beholden to the founder of another coin, he said.

But it’s hard to criticize what he’s done with it so far, Browning said. “If you’re a holder and you’re really still against what he’s done, you look unsympathetic to Covid, unsympathetic to people of India, you almost look like you’re just a Gordon Gekko-type monger.”

— With assistance by Matthew Leising

Sent from my iPhone



To: Julius Wong who wrote (171676)5/14/2021 4:48:32 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219150
 
Hmmmnnn. I did not know ... or knew of Naspers / Tencent relationship but forgot to think the consequences of indexing by investors

bloomberg.com

Tencent Is a $43 Billion Headache for Its Biggest Backer
Naspers and Prosus continue to get creative with their capital structures.

Alex Webb
14 May 2021, 08:00 GMT+8
It’s one of the most successful investments of all time. The $32 million that Naspers Ltd. invested in China’s Tencent Ltd. in 2001 is now worth more than $200 billion. But the South African company may never be able to reap the full rewards of that bet, because the way that index investing works means Naspers is simply too big for its home market to swallow.

The stake in Tencent has made Naspers the largest constituent of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, accounting for almost a quarter of the index’s weighting. That creates difficulties for large investors that track the index and often limit themselves to having just 12% of their portfolio in any one stock. Because whenever the Naspers share price increases, which it should in line with Tencent’s gains, it takes up more of their portfolios and they have to reduce their holdings.

All this keeps Naspers stock broadly flat even as its assets get more valuable. The shares consistently trade at a big discount to the value of its investments, not least the Tencent stake.

The conundrum has forced Chief Executive Officer Bob van Dijk and Chief Financial Officer Basil Sgourdos to find ever more creative ways of rejigging the capital structure in an attempt to reduce the discount. In 2019, they spun out the Tencent holding and other tech investments into an Amsterdam-listed subsidiary called Prosus N.V., where the two executives occupy the same roles. Naspers retained 73% of the new company, while curbing the discount — for a while, at least. Prosus’s $141 billion market capitalization makes it one of Europe’s three biggest tech companies.

The problem is, as long as Tencent continues to grow, Naspers will continue to get too big for South African investors. On Wednesday, van Dijk and Sgourdos made a new gambit, offering to let Naspers shareholders swap their stock for Prosus shares. The move is smart, as far as it goes: It gives Prosus a greater free float, and reduces the Naspers weighting on the Johannesburg exchange to about 14%. That should benefit both companies. Naspers shareholders retain just as big a stake in Prosus, even as Naspers itself reduces its economic interest in the Dutch firm.

South African CeilingAs Tencent shares rise, the valuation gap to Naspers's stake expands

Source: Bloomberg

But this again only looks like a temporary fix. Even at 14%, the weighting is still higher than the 12% concentration with which many investors are comfortable. Should Tencent’s share price recover, the discount on Naspers will surely expand again.

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There’s not much more financial rejigging that van Dijk can do. The share swap will give Prosus 49.5% of Naspers stock. Any more than that and the change of control would land the companies with a hefty tax bill — one that could stretch into the tens of billions of euros. But should Naspers’s discount to the value of its holding in Tencent extend beyond its current $43 billion, ponying up the tax payment may be worth it.

At some stage, he may have to accept that realizing the full value of the investment may be impossible. Spinning the entirety of the Tencent stake into a standalone holding company might be an option.

For now, Van Dijk has managed to figure out a short term fix for his problem. Eventually he’ll need to think longer term.

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.

To contact the author of this story:
Alex Webb at awebb25@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Nicole Torres at ntorres51@bloomberg.net

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