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To: Mike 2.0 who wrote (12351)2/4/1998 12:40:00 PM
From: Moonray  Respond to of 22053
 
Forecasts lowered for Asian Internet use

Reuters

KUALA LUMPUR -- The number of Asian Internet users is expected
to rise by 63 percent for the 1995-2001 period, slightly down on
forecasts made before the region's economic crisis began in July, a
research report showed on Wednesday.


International Data Corp Asia Pacific (IDC) said the compound annual
growth rate for Internet users had been forecast at 69 percent until
Thailand devalued its baht currency in early July 1997.

'As of January 1998, revised forecasts show only a moderate change in
compound annual growth rate for the region to 63 percent over the
same period,'' the high-tech market research firm said in a statement.

'This is good news to local Internet Service Providers (ISPs) and
vendors, as demand for their products and services will remain stable
through 1998,'' it said.

The impact of the currency crisis will be felt by local ISPs, said IDC
senior Internet analyst Pete Hitchen. He said this is because the local
ISPs buy bandwidth in U.S. dollars but charge customers in local
currencies.

'There will be some fallout in the next few months from the poor
economic conditions, however this will create a more streamlined ISP
market environment which will benefit business users and consumers in
the long run,'' Hitchen said in the statement.

In a country breakdown, IDC said Thailand has seen slower Internet
user growth, but that government initiatives are in place to ensure
''positive growth in 1998.''

For instance, Thai regulators have abolished floor pricing requirements
for ISPs, which lowers prices for the end users.

The Philippines should see smaller ISPs merge, and others closing due
to the currency crisis, IDC said. At present, the country has over 130
ISPs. Pricing by ISPs remains steady although some groups are
charging corporate customers in U.S. dollars to ease the effects of the
devalued peso, IDC said.

Indonesia has maintained pricing in local currency at its ISPs ''even in
the face of moderate slowdown in the new consumer growth for ISP
subscriptions', the statement said.

It said that although there has been little growth in the number of
Internet users in Indonesia, ''existing ISPs are still aggressively
promoting Internet usage, and the larger ISPs are actively expanding
their internet technology'.

In Korea, IDC said the ''hardiness'' of the Internet market was
evidenced by no decline in the ranks of the larger ISPs. On the
contrary, a new large ISP started commercial service in 1997 and at
least two ISPs will start operations in 1998, IDC said.

ISPs in Singapore and Malaysia have been ''relatively unaffected'' by
the currency crisis, IDC said. Although overall consumer spending has
slowed in these countries along with the region, ''local ISPs are still
looking for increased business'' due to government initiatives such as
Singapore One and Malaysia's Multimedia Super Corridor, it said.

Singapore One is a plan by the island nation to wire all homes and
businesses in a single communications network, while the corridor is a
proposed testbed for multimedia applications.

o~~~ O