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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: vixson who wrote (11350)6/10/2021 11:25:51 AM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Winfastorlose

  Respond to of 26710
 
Interesting pullback in AAII sentiment even as S&P 500 made a new high tagging 4250 (after rounding up) today.




To: vixson who wrote (11350)6/24/2021 10:14:42 AM
From: Kirk ©  Respond to of 26710
 
Nice pullback in sentiment.

Also, on this new log chart with two upper channel lines drawn, note how the Dow is now up against the level that caused Greenspan's famous "irrational exuberance" quote. Note too that there was a similar sentiment decline before several more years of amazing returns.



To: vixson who wrote (11350)7/21/2021 1:55:26 PM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation

Recommended By
vixson

  Respond to of 26710
 
II Sentiment
Bulls down significantly at 53.1 from 61.2 last week
Bears up a bit at 16.7 from 15.3 last week




To: vixson who wrote (11350)8/12/2021 10:16:55 AM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation

Recommended By
vixson

  Respond to of 26710
 
AAII sentiment is quite a bit off its peak and the markets are near record highs.

Several of my leading indicator stocks are in the same boat...




To: vixson who wrote (11350)9/23/2021 11:05:06 AM
From: Kirk ©  Respond to of 26710
 
II Bulls-Bears 1995 to Now




To: vixson who wrote (11350)9/23/2021 11:11:41 AM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation

Recommended By
berniel

  Respond to of 26710
 
Graph of the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Bulls Minus Bears Sentiment Indicator vs the Dow.

Who remembers "Laugh-in"?
"One Ringy Dingy....."






To: vixson who wrote (11350)9/30/2021 11:07:24 AM
From: Kirk ©2 Recommendations

Recommended By
berniel
vixson

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26710
 
Pretty big pullback on this II Investor Intelligence bull/bear chart

Lowest since over a year, about June of last year.




To: vixson who wrote (11350)12/9/2021 10:33:56 AM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation

Recommended By
vixson

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26710
 
II Bulls Minus Bears Survey vs Log Dow Graph

It is weird seeing such bearishness given I'm a fraction from a record high...



My guess is so many bought into the bubble head ARKK nonsense and are getting slaughtered while the quality stocks I prefer are for the most part doing great (my speculative stocks that should do better down the road HAVE been hit but if you keep that percentage reasonable, it is still possible to make new highs when they are hit.)




To: vixson who wrote (11350)2/11/2022 8:06:09 PM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation

Recommended By
vixson

  Respond to of 26710
 
I thought you might like this II Bulls over bulls plus bears sentiment chart plus one of my MoJo charts.




To: vixson who wrote (11350)4/4/2022 6:45:34 PM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation

Recommended By
vixson

  Respond to of 26710
 
The latest IMX is out...
IMX vs S&P 500

The Investor Movement Index, or the IMX, is a proprietary, behavior-based index created by TD Ameritrade designed to indicate the sentiment of retail investors.
Quite a decline in bullishness.




To: vixson who wrote (11350)7/3/2025 10:17:33 AM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation

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Return to Sender

  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 26710
 
Did II Investor Intelligence go under like many others?

Both my sources stopped posting the numbers last week.

Thanks.

AAII is pretty good, but it wasn't the same