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Strategies & Market Trends : SPY Advance - Decline data for 2014 through 2016 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: rimshot who wrote (498)6/19/2021 11:16:35 AM
From: rimshot  Respond to of 1118
 
the McClellan Oscillator is used to show strong or minor shifts in sentiment in the indexes,
and strong directional confirmation events are called breadth thrusts, which can accompany
up or down price events

It also helps in analyzing the strength of an index price trend via divergence or confirmation.

The McClellan Oscillator formula can be applied to any stock exchange or index of stocks.
  • A reading above zero helps confirm a rise in the index, while readings below zero confirm a decline in the index.
  • When the index is rising but the oscillator is falling, that warns that the index could start declining too. When the index is falling and the oscillator is rising, that indicates the index could start rising soon. This is called divergence.
  • A significant change, such as moving 100 points or more, from a negative reading to a positive reading is called a breadth thrust. It may indicate a strong reversal from downtrend to uptrend is underway on the stock exchange or index.



To: rimshot who wrote (498)6/20/2021 11:38:24 AM
From: rimshot  Respond to of 1118
 
prior post is restated here to make one correction and to improve clarity -
( this is likely my final post at SI for a # of weeks & I will not be replying to private messages )

$SPX daily showing 8 months of history for
the 55-day EMA and 50-day EMA
-

stockcharts.com

* price declines which do not ever violate the RSI-14 40 level for a daily close
represent a "buy the dip" chart event at least for the near term,
in the great majority of cases over the years ... this technical interpretation is widely
used by CMT's and evidence-based traders

15,2 Bollinger Band is shown, and bulls ideally want to see the ATR declining

this is ATR setting favored by Arthur Hill, CMT, which uses the
20-day EMA as the signal line

$SPX and $OEX daily closes history vs. the 55-day EMA
shown within the context of:
# of new 52-week highs & lows for $SPX and
# of new highs for $OEX and
the net # of new highs for $SPX minus the $OEX count

stockcharts.com

4145.90 = $SPX 55-day EMA, as of Friday June 18th close

stockcharts.com

above daily chart represents in advance heads-up for producing Alerts
applicable to bulls & bears over time

the $SPX daily closes chart is displayed with:
* the 3 and 89,2 EMA smoothing of the invisible
55,2 %B for the invisible inverted $VXO

* adds at the chart bottom
the pure & not smoothed 55,2 %B for the invisible inverted $VXO

* potentially actionable items are:

1. the white and dashed green horizontals
placed on the 55,2 %B portion of the chart scale, as well as

2. the 3 EMA crossing above or below the 89,2 EMA thereby treating
the 89,2 EMA as the signal line, as well as

3. the 3 EMA and/or the 89,2 EMA crossing above or below the 0.50 dashed green horizontal placed
on the 55,2 %B portion of the chart scale

** the actual timing in advance of any bullish OR bearish
directional slope divergence events by the smoothed 55,2 %B
compared to the simultaneous price direction by $SPX is likely the most important aspect
of this tool set **

Alerts of impending $SPX directional shifts are not always provided
in advance using these chart settings

chart #4 - $SPX daily McClellan Oscillator value on June 17 & 18 resides
within the horizontal "buy zone" commonly seen during garden variety $SPX price declines
during 2020 through June 2021

stockcharts.com

* the most reliably bullish future scenario I can imagine for the coming days / weeks
is if the S&P 500 McO eventually sets up a more than marginally sized
positively divergent McO higher low, while the $SPX prints a simultaneous lower daily close low

the McClellan Oscillator is used to show strong or minor shifts in sentiment in the indexes,
and strong directional confirmation events are called breadth thrusts, which can accompany
up or down price events

It also helps in analyzing the strength of an index price trend via divergence or confirmation.

The McClellan Oscillator formula can be applied to any stock exchange or index of stocks.
  • A reading above zero helps confirm a rise in the index, while readings below zero confirm a decline in the index.
  • When the index is rising but the oscillator is falling, that warns that the index could start declining too. When the index is falling and the oscillator is rising, that indicates the index could start rising soon. This is called divergence.
  • A significant change, such as moving 100 points or more, from a negative reading to a positive reading is called a breadth thrust. It may indicate a strong reversal from downtrend to uptrend is underway on the stock exchange or index. Ditto in reverse, in the event McO moves 100 points down.



To: rimshot who wrote (498)7/15/2021 9:35:09 AM
From: rimshot  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1118
 
$SPX 4331.79 = 15-day SMA, as of Thursday July 15 open

$SPX daily showing 8 months of history for
the 15-day SMA, 55-day EMA & 50-day EMA -

* notice the currently declining daily RSI-14

stockcharts.com

15,2 Bollinger Band is shown, and bulls ideally want to see the ATR declining

this is ATR setting favored by Arthur Hill, CMT, which uses the
20-day EMA as the signal line

$SPX and $OEX daily closes history vs. the 55-day EMA
shown within the context of:
# of new 52-week highs & lows for $SPX and
# of new highs for $OEX and
the net # of new highs for $SPX minus the $OEX count

stockcharts.com

4231.83 = $SPX 55-day EMA, as of Thursday July 15 open

stockcharts.com

above daily chart represents in advance heads-up for producing Alerts
applicable to bulls & bears over time

the $SPX daily closes chart is displayed with:
* the 3 and 89,2 EMA smoothing of the invisible
55,2 %B for the invisible inverted $VXO

* adds at the chart bottom
the pure & not smoothed 55,2 %B for the invisible inverted $VXO

* potentially actionable items are:

1. the white and dashed green horizontals
placed on the 55,2 %B portion of the chart scale, as well as

2. the 3 EMA crossing above or below the 89,2 EMA thereby treating
the 89,2 EMA as the signal line, as well as

3. the 3 EMA and/or the 89,2 EMA crossing above or below the 0.50 dashed green horizontal placed
on the 55,2 %B portion of the chart scale

** the actual timing in advance of any bullish OR bearish
directional slope divergence events by the smoothed 55,2 %B
compared to the simultaneous price direction by $SPX is likely the most important aspect
of this tool set **

Alerts of impending $SPX directional shifts are not always provided
in advance using these chart settings

chart #4 - $SPX daily with one focus being the highs & lows seen by the McClellan Oscillator value

stockcharts.com