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Strategies & Market Trends : Taking Advantage of a Sharply Changing Environment -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Magnatizer who wrote (4855)6/29/2021 3:14:14 AM
From: Doug R2 Recommendations

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3bar
Hawkmoon

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6334
 
Oh...but they do just make it up.
It's actually more about the magnetosphere weakening on an accelerating track as the magnetic poles react to the incoming galactic sector boundary crossing (Parker instability) and...the Sun...solar cycle 25 still has a bit of a question mark as to its amplitude. In my opinion, the Termination Event (TE) timing technique for predicting cycle strength is a serious consideration. The prospect of grid down becomes more central. The ramp-up to maximum in a sunspot cycle correlates well with Elliot. 5 waves, with wave 3 being the most "profitable" on a % basis. Normally the Termination Event (TE) comes closer to mid-cycle. Cycle peaks exhibit double tops as first one hemisphere maxes out, settles a bit, then the other hemisphere maxes out. So it's sorta like a double layered Elliot progression with 5 waves to peak one then an embedded 5 waves to peak 2.

An early Termination Event would be coming as a lead-in to wave 3 of the first peak if it comes when the researchers most involved expect. That generally sets a grid-down time-frame within 16 months if the correlation between shorter TE periods and stronger solar cycles holds.
If it doesn't hold and the other 99.5% of forecasts for a weaker cycle are correct, grid-down isn't removed much from the equation while increased GSM-like effects would be expected and systems most susceptible to that (food production, energy for heating, etc) would present as the most dynamic factor.

The "Fasten Seat Belts" sign is on. Stand by...preparedly.