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To: DR. MEADE who wrote (447)2/4/1998 2:24:00 PM
From: DR. MEADE  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1361
 
Year 2000 crackdown urged

Ignoring computer problem should mean
no loans or insurance, business groups says
Wednesday, February 4, 1998
By Patrick Brethour

TORONTO -- Canadian businesses should be cut off from loans, insurance
policies and government financing unless they come up with a formal plan
to deal with the millennium bug, a committee of top business leaders
said yesterday.

As a measure of the issue's urgency, the 16-member panel tabled its plan
for tackling Canada's Year 2000 computer problem three months early. The
recommendations go to the private sector and the three levels of
government, with the goal of prodding corporate Canada into action by
May.

In a separate report issued yesterday, the Conference Board of Canada
warned that failure to deal immediately with the millennium bug could
throw Canada into a recession in the first half of 2000 and derail the
country's progress to full employment by 2001.

The business committee's 18 recommendations offer a carrot for small-
and medium-sized businesses. It proposes that the federal government
allow smaller firms to deduct the bulk of their Year 2000-related
expenses this year, even if the money isn't spent until the next tax
season.

In effect, the unprecedented tax measure would be one-year interest-free
loans.

In December, a Statistics Canada survey found that only 9 per cent of
Canadian businesses had a formal plan for dealing with the millennium
bug, even though 91 per cent were aware of the problem. While 300 large
corporations had yet to begin work on the problem, most of the
foot-draggers were small- and medium-sized businesses.

Committee chairman Jean Monty, president and chief operating officer of
Bell Canada parent BCE Inc., said the committee's recommendations should
be enough to goad most Canadian businesses into action and avoid the
huge cost of widespread computer breakdowns.
Peter de Jager, one of the most prominent Year 2000 consultants, said
the report was surprisingly hard-hitting and should be enough to grab
the attention of executives with little understanding of or interest in
technology. "They don't seem to understand the computer issue, but they
understand their loan being called back."

But Mr. Monty said some firms will have to learn the hard way. "There
are some companies that will not get their loans, not get their
insurance policies renewed."

The committee's plans call for loans to be cut off as early as April 1.

Committee member John Cleghorn, chief executive officer of the Royal
Bank of Canada, said most banks will be flexible with customers still
working on formal plans.

Still, the Canadian Federation of Independent Business warned that the
Year 2000 issue should not be used as a pretext to tighten financing for
small business. "What I'm concerned about is this being used as an
excuse to deny a loan or insurance policy," said committee member
Catherine Swift, the federation's president and chief executive officer.

Mr. Monty said the committee tried to take a positive approach in the
first instalment of its report, hoping that moral suasion will be enough
to convince corporate Canada of the need for immediate action. "We're
not trying to be punitive," he said, but warning that more drastic
measures may be called for in May if Canadian business is still ignoring
the Year 2000 problem.

The millennium bug has a seemingly simple cause. Many computer programs,
especially older ones, use two digits to denote dates instead of four.
Originally used to save scarce memory on early computers, the
anachronistic programming technique has left many electronic systems
that depend on dates unable to cope with the arrival of 2000.

When 1999 ends, machines that aren't corrected will think the year is
1900, 1980 or even some random date. The potential results range from
the inconvenience of stalled elevators to the extreme danger of
malfunctioning air-traffic control systems.

Among the report's other recommendations:
All businesses should aggressively ensure that their suppliers and
customers are preparing for 2000;
Provincial and municipal governments should report regularly on their
own progress;
Any changes to legislation or regulations should be examined to make
sure that they don't unnecessarily divert resources from efforts to
prepare for 2000.

Federal Industry Minister John Manley described the millennium bug as a
critical problem, but said companies can't rely on a quick correction or
a government handout to deal with it.

Mr. Manley said he needs to look at the task force's plan to provide
accelerated tax writeoffs for companies that invest in Year 2000
solutions, but ruled out any grants or tax subsidies. "Some companies
have made the investment and should not, through their taxes, subsidize
the companies that have not."

The proposal to accelerate could carry a $30-million price tag in
forgone interest for the federal government, but there is no firm
estimate of the cost.

Mr. Manley said he will work with Immigration Minister Lucienne
Robillard to speed up entry of computer programmers who might want to
come to Canada and work on the Year 2000 problem. But he said there is
not a pool of available talent eager to come to Canada.
The full report and related information is at:
strategis.ic.gc.ca/sos2000

Recommendations:

- Make loans, insurance policies and government financing contingent on
firm having formal plan for 2000 problem.
- Let businesses deduct 2000- related expenses in 1998-99, even if money
not yet spent.
- Fast-track immigration for workers with 2000 skills.
- Ask securities regulators whether firms should have to disclose 2000
preparedness.

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