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Technology Stocks : Winstar Comm. (WCII) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Steven Bowen who wrote (3697)2/4/1998 11:18:00 AM
From: Brian Coakley  Respond to of 12468
 
Steven,

Thanks for the thoughts. I agree on the state of CVUS as an ongoing concern, but do believe what they own is worth more than $7/sh.

All, sorry about the CVUS talk (although it's somewhat pertinent).

Regards, Brian



To: Steven Bowen who wrote (3697)2/4/1998 12:57:00 PM
From: Bernard Levy  Respond to of 12468
 
<OFF TOPIC>

Dear Steven:

Regarding CVUS, the LMDS auction, etc.

a) I agree that CVUS's finances do not look good, but
they never did. They had $4M cash on hand last quarter
with a cash burn of $3M/quarter, so their lack of
funds was predictable. The key indicator will be whether
they were successful in submitting their upfront
bidding fee to the FCC. If they did, they must have
found a financial backer, and developed a broad strategic
plan. If not, CVUS will probably be sold soon after the
auction. I find it interesting that they finally
decided to concentrate on Internet access services,
and in particular on bandwidth expansion for suscribers
to ISPs (instead of their own Internet service). This
is obviously the correct strategy for the next few
years. It is rather sad it took them so long to
find it. Perhaps, this may suggest that a partnership
with an ISP company might be in the cards.

b) There is strong evidence that some big names are
hiding behind the partnerships bidding for the LMDS auction.
I am not sure that AT&T, Sprint and British Telecom
are among them, but some of the Baby Bells appear to be
present. Concerning Bill Gates and MSFT, their participation
will probably be indirect, either through Comcast or
through MSFT ISP unit. Note that MSFT and Intel need
desperately to break the bandwidth stranglehold facing
home PC users. To do so, they will put their weight
behind each and every one of the broadband access
technologies (ADSL, cable modems, LMDS).

c) Note that because of the stringent FCC anti-collusion
rules for the LMDS auction it is unrealistic to
expect any information to filter out before the auction.
This is why CVUS's stock price is not moving. The
uncertaintly is just too great to justify an upward move
at this stage.

Best regards,

Bernard Levy