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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (174091)	7/1/2021 7:40:37 PM
From: sense	Respond to of 218777

Iowa, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Utah and Nebraska ? The focus both on "allies" and on "trade" otherwise... ? I'd think the politics of it is basically... they probably have to be seen doing that if they're from big ag exporting states... where the requirement will be for taking that position, at least for public consumption... but that doesn't require them to mean it or succeed rather than position... so likely a bit of grandstanding... If I cared... I'd look to see which of them is up for re-election in 2022... Checking myself on that... Class III States that have a Senator up for election in 2022... shows states with a class 3 senator includes : Iowa, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Utah, and Wisconsin.... not Nebraska. Pennsylvania's "current U.S. senators are Democrat Bob Casey Jr. (since 2007) and Republican Pat Toomey (since 2011), making it one of seven states to have a split United States Senate delegation." So, Toomey is up... might need to be able to position that way to fight off a challenger who will use it otherwise. Iowa has two Republican's, one of them up... looks like its Grassely, but he's an institution, can do whatever he wants and Iowa will vote for him. Joni Ernst will go along with him. Ag states are always pro export... North Carolina's Tillis isn't up, but his opposite (R) Burr is retiring... will have to see how the challengers split on the issues... Utah... Mike Lee is up in 2022... Romney not able to be kicked out until 2024... Wisconsin... another split state... (R) Ron Johnson up in 2022, (D) Tammy Baldwin not until 2024. Nebraska (R) Deb Fischer up in 2024, (R) Ben Sasse not until 2026. So, only four of them up for re-election... more likely saying what they have to say to get re-elected... ? In the opposite-land of politics... it will also have opposite impacts... serving as a tweak to those on the other side who obviously did vote for Biden, and who now require his support for re-elections in 2022... when they have failed to deliver on core promises made to key constituencies... So, its perhaps in part a field reversal... in which the "outsider" (?) candidate, now that he has the job... can't just criticize the other team, but also can't just do what he thought and said he would... but is mostly stuck with the realities that exist now... including the internal policy conflicts between agencies with competing agenda... But, the other team, being out now... can easily switch up sides in the debates to take the easy position without any accountability... so they would be remiss to not make the attempt to take an easy pound of flesh from the other side when its on offer... The odds it will really matter to those R candidates ? Probably near zero. If it can be used to make a few D candidates in other states squirm... and elect more R's in those places... well worth it to them. The cost their re-positioning might have to those on the opposite side ? Don't know... but likely the point of it... Where it will matter is in tipping elections in those places the policy would be popular... but the office holder there is stuck having to have the bosses back, and is stuck owning them getting nothing done... so those guys will take the blame for the D's failure to deliver... which fact will be highlighted in the other side's campaign... The R senators re-positioning likely useful to them specifically... but also makes that messaging appear credible in other races where R challengers will use it... Election 2022 looks likely to be one of the more interesting election events in a long time... I doubt it will be the liberalization of trade policy that is what fires people up...