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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ajtj99 who wrote (29618)7/1/2021 9:16:32 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 96631
 
Tapering began January 2014. October 2014 was when QE ended.

10y treasury yield went from 3% in 1/2014 to a low of 1.4% in 2016. The reason: inflation was almost zero in 1015 and 2016. So, although the absolute yield declined, inflation went down even faster. Real rates (actual minus inflation) stayed positive this entire time.

What will 2021 inflation be? I am guessing: not zero; not close to zero. And tapering will not even begin till next year.