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Pastimes : Football Forum (NFL) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Thomas M. who wrote (45208)	8/1/2021 8:09:35 AM
From: Bill	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 45639

Over HOU - with Watson at QB, they will win a few at home CHI - better offense this year GB - just 10? Under NYJ- too much competition in the division DEN - did they improve at all?

To: Thomas M. who wrote (45208)	8/1/2021 9:15:43 AM
From: Jeffrey S. Mitchell	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 45639

Under NYG - 7 (unless I hear buzz about the QB improving) What? Are you actually saying the Giants don't need to improve in every facet of the game? As a Giants fan, I'm greatly offended. :) - Jeff

To: Thomas M. who wrote (45208)	8/30/2021 3:17:54 PM
From: Robert F. Newton	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 45639

Giants Under 7 Bills Over 11 Steelers Under 8.5 WFT Over 8

To: Thomas M. who wrote (45208)	8/30/2021 9:29:38 PM
From: Jeffrey S. Mitchell	1 Recommendation Recommended By Zen Dollar Round Respond to of 45639

Over Giants - 7 (Because everyone else is picking the under) Eagles - 6.5 (Because another NFC East team needs to beat the WTFs and the Cowboys) Under WTF - 8 (because it's not their year or decade) Cowboys - 9 (because it's not their year or decade or millennium) - Jeff

To: Thomas M. who wrote (45208)	8/31/2021 9:45:55 PM
From: Kevin Podsiadlik	Respond to of 45639

I have to like my chances with the Lions under 4.5 and Rams over 10.5. Stafford is easily more than half a game better than Goff.

To: Thomas M. who wrote (45208)	9/11/2021 8:39:56 PM
From: Thomas M.	1 Recommendation Recommended By Bill Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 45639

My official picks: WAS - 8 - OVER - (massive QB upgrade from disastrous to decent, top 10 OL, elite DL, Terry McLaurin and Antonio Gibson are going to have huge breakout seasons) NWE - 9.5 - OVER - (massive talent upgrade: many free agents + several good players returning after Covid opt-out last year, Mac Jones was the best QB in the NFL this preseason) Tom

To: Thomas M. who wrote (45208)

9/6/2022 11:55:43 PM

From: Jeffrey S. Mitchell

Respond to of 45639

Checking how well Vegas did last year. Note the average they were off was 1.625 (in either direction) with the median being .5. Also note Vegas messed up the worst with the teams they ranked the worst:

	Proj	Act	Diff
Bucs	12	13	-1
Chiefs	12	12	0
Bills	11	11	0
Ravens	11	8	3
49ers	10.5	10	0.5
Browns	10.5	8	2.5
Rams	10.5	12	-1.5
Packers	10	13	-3
Seahawks	10	7	3
Chargers	9.5	9	0.5
Colts	9.5	9	0.5
Dolphins	9.5	9	0.5
Patriots	9.5	10	-0.5
Cowboys	9	12	-3
Saints	9	9	0
Titans	9	12	-3
Vikings	9	8	1
Broncos	8.5	7	1.5
Cardinals	8.5	11	-2.5
Steelers	8.5	9.5	-1
Washington	8	7	1
Bears	7.5	6	1.5
Falcons	7.5	7	0.5
Panthers	7.5	5	2.5
Giants	7	4	3
Raiders	7	10	-3
Bengals	6.5	10	-3.5
Eagles	6.5	9	-2.5
Jaguars	6.5	3	3.5
Jets	6	4	2
Lions	4.5	3.5	1
Texans	4	4	0

- Jeff