To: TREND1 who wrote (27795 ) 2/4/1998 8:55:00 PM From: DavidG Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 53903
For Bears and Wannabe Bears ONLY !!! A Mathematical Analysis of Microns next 4 months..... MACRO*WORLD(tm) 7-DAY OUTLOOK 2/04/98 ------------------------------------------------------------ Latest Data: 2/04/98 closed at $38.25, up 0.43. This is within the -1.29 average daily change. The daily model indicates that this is an exceptionally High $/share! ------------------------------------------------------------ 7-day Alert: -other factors don't warrant a rating- If you use Stops, for a Long position use $35.38, for a Short use $41.13. ------------------------------------------------------------ Forecast Summary: There is a 85% chance of being Lower in 7 days. Most likely 2/11/98 level is $33.44, a 12.6% decrease vs yesterday's $38.25. -------------------------------------------------- | 70% confidence range| | Forecast Closing --------------------| | Days $/share Change High Low | |------------------------------------------------| | 02/05/98 37.15 -1.10 38.16 36.14 | | 02/06/98 36.09 -1.06 37.21 34.97 | | 02/07/98 Sat | | 02/08/98 Sun | | 02/09/98 35.12 -0.97 36.58 33.66 | | 02/10/98 34.11 -1.01 35.69 32.53 | | 02/11/98 33.41 -0.70 35.10 31.72 | -------------------------------------------------- Co:MU - MICRON TECHNOLOGY,$/share(US) Exchange:NYSE MACRO*WORLD(tm) 5-WEEK OUTLOOK 2/04/98 ------------------------------------------------------------ Latest Week: 1/30/98 averaged $33.30, up 3.61. This is larger than the -1.71 average weekly change. The weekly model indicates that this is an exceptionally Low $/share! ------------------------------------------------------------ 5-week Alert: -probability too low, no action recommended- If you use Stops, for a Long position use $35.38, for a Short use $41.13. ------------------------------------------------------------ Forecast Summary: There is a 65% chance of being Higher in 5 weeks. Most likely 3/06/98 level is $39.70, a 3.8% increase vs latest $38.25/share. -------------------------------------------------- | 70% confidence range| | Forecast Average --------------------| | Week of $/share Change High Low | |------------------------------------------------| | 02/06/98 36.91 3.61 38.85 34.97 | | 02/13/98 36.91 0.00 38.96 34.86 | | 02/20/98 38.57 1.66 40.74 36.40 | | 02/27/98 40.24 1.67 42.53 37.95 | | 03/06/98 39.70 -0.54 42.11 37.29 | -------------------------------------------------- However, the Daily model's outlook is Down. Co:MU - MICRON TECHNOLOGY,$/share(US) Exchange:NYSE MACRO*WORLD(tm) 4-MONTH OUTLOOK 2/03/98 ------------------------------------------------------------ Latest Month: Jan'98 averaged $29.80, up 4.75. This is larger than the -3.72 average monthly change. The monthly model indicates that this is an exceptionally Low $/share! ------------------------------------------------------------ 4-month Alert: -probability too low, no action recommended- If you use Stops, for a Long position use $35.00, for a Short use $40.63. ------------------------------------------------------------ Forecast Summary: There is a 65% chance of being Higher in 4 months. Most likely May'98 level is $42.84, a 13.3%
increase vs latest $37.81/share. -------------------------------------------------- | 70% confidence range| | Forecast Average --------------------| | Months $/share Change High Low | |------------------------------------------------| | Feb'98 37.53 7.73 39.50 35.56 | | Mar'98 40.76 3.23 43.76 37.76 | | Apr'98 42.57 1.81 46.60 38.54 | | May'98 42.84 0.27 47.91 37.77 | -------------------------------------------------- However, the Weekly model's outlook is Up. The above report is based on mathematical calculations and, as such, no investment decision should be based solely on its conclusions.