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Technology Stocks : Micron Only Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TREND1 who wrote (27795)2/4/1998 8:55:00 PM
From: DavidG  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 53903
 
For Bears and Wannabe Bears ONLY !!!

A Mathematical Analysis of Microns next 4 months.....

MACRO*WORLD(tm) 7-DAY OUTLOOK 2/04/98
------------------------------------------------------------
Latest Data:
2/04/98 closed at $38.25, up 0.43. This is
within the -1.29 average daily change.
The daily model indicates that this is an
exceptionally High $/share!
------------------------------------------------------------
7-day Alert:
-other factors don't warrant a rating-
If you use Stops, for a Long position use $35.38,
for a Short use $41.13.
------------------------------------------------------------
Forecast Summary:
There is a 85% chance of being Lower in 7 days.
Most likely 2/11/98 level is $33.44, a 12.6%
decrease vs yesterday's $38.25.

--------------------------------------------------
| 70% confidence range|
| Forecast Closing --------------------|
| Days $/share Change High Low |
|------------------------------------------------|
| 02/05/98 37.15 -1.10 38.16 36.14 |
| 02/06/98 36.09 -1.06 37.21 34.97 |
| 02/07/98 Sat |
| 02/08/98 Sun |
| 02/09/98 35.12 -0.97 36.58 33.66 |
| 02/10/98 34.11 -1.01 35.69 32.53 |
| 02/11/98 33.41 -0.70 35.10 31.72 |
--------------------------------------------------

Co:MU - MICRON TECHNOLOGY,$/share(US) Exchange:NYSE
MACRO*WORLD(tm) 5-WEEK OUTLOOK 2/04/98
------------------------------------------------------------
Latest Week:
1/30/98 averaged $33.30, up 3.61. This is
larger than the -1.71 average weekly change.
The weekly model indicates that this is an
exceptionally Low $/share!
------------------------------------------------------------
5-week Alert:
-probability too low, no action recommended-
If you use Stops, for a Long position use $35.38,
for a Short use $41.13.
------------------------------------------------------------
Forecast Summary:
There is a 65% chance of being Higher in 5 weeks.
Most likely 3/06/98 level is $39.70, a 3.8%
increase vs latest $38.25/share.

--------------------------------------------------
| 70% confidence range|
| Forecast Average --------------------|
| Week of $/share Change High Low |
|------------------------------------------------|
| 02/06/98 36.91 3.61 38.85 34.97 |
| 02/13/98 36.91 0.00 38.96 34.86 |
| 02/20/98 38.57 1.66 40.74 36.40 |
| 02/27/98 40.24 1.67 42.53 37.95 |
| 03/06/98 39.70 -0.54 42.11 37.29 |
--------------------------------------------------

However, the Daily model's outlook is Down.
Co:MU - MICRON TECHNOLOGY,$/share(US) Exchange:NYSE
MACRO*WORLD(tm) 4-MONTH OUTLOOK 2/03/98
------------------------------------------------------------
Latest Month:
Jan'98 averaged $29.80, up 4.75. This is
larger than the -3.72 average monthly change.
The monthly model indicates that this is an
exceptionally Low $/share!
------------------------------------------------------------
4-month Alert:
-probability too low, no action recommended-
If you use Stops, for a Long position use $35.00,
for a Short use $40.63.
------------------------------------------------------------
Forecast Summary:
There is a 65% chance of being Higher in 4 months.
Most likely May'98 level is $42.84, a 13.3% increase vs latest $37.81/share.

--------------------------------------------------
| 70% confidence range|
| Forecast Average --------------------|
| Months $/share Change High Low |
|------------------------------------------------|
| Feb'98 37.53 7.73 39.50 35.56 |
| Mar'98 40.76 3.23 43.76 37.76 |
| Apr'98 42.57 1.81 46.60 38.54 |
| May'98 42.84 0.27 47.91 37.77 |
--------------------------------------------------

However, the Weekly model's outlook is Up.

The above report is based on mathematical calculations and, as such, no investment decision should be based solely on its conclusions.