To: maceng2 who wrote (177881 ) 9/8/2021 4:05:19 AM From: TobagoJack Respond to of 217592 Empire strikes backbloomberg.com El Salvador’s Big Bet on Bitcoin Is Backfiring in Its Bond Market Tracy Alloway 8 September 2021, 11:23 GMT+8 Get Odd Lots in your InboxSign up for the weekly newsletter on what Joe and Tracy are talking about, from semiconductors to MMT and the repo market. Sign up to this newsletter On Tuesday, El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, earning widespread plaudits from cryptocurrency enthusiasts. But it turns out that emerging market bond investors don’t seem to have loved the idea quite as much, or perhaps they were put off by the fraught rollout of the government’s Chivo Wallet, or maybe the subsequent “buy the rumor, sell the fact” price action in Bitcoin itself. The so-called ‘ El Salvador Selloff ’ saw the price of Bitcoin tank by as much as 16% to $43,050, before recovering to reach around $47,300 as of publication time. Or perhaps debt investors were reacting to a decision by one of El Savador’s top courts on Friday that a sitting president could run for a second term — a move that potentially paves the way for Nayib Bukele to seek reelection and which Human Rights Watch has criticized as the latest dismantling of the country’s democratic institutions. Either way, El Salvador’s entire yield curve has now inverted, meaning bonds with near-term maturities are yielding more than debt that’s due further out. That’s generally considered a bad sign as it means investors see shorter-term debt as riskier, and most yield curves will slope upwards given the inherent uncertainty of pricing things over the longer-term. The move towards inversion appears to have begun in June, when the law to adopt Bitcoin was passed. Photographer: Alloway, Tracy Bond investors have embraced grand experiments in monetary policy in recent years, but so far it seems like they’re less inclined to accept ones in actual money. “El Salvador slipped on the first day of its new Bitcoin law,” notes Ben Emons, a strategist over at Medley Global Advisors. The price action is “an unwelcome sign that the wide use of Bitcoin may have major implications” for the country, he said. Sent from my iPhone