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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ggersh who wrote (178484)9/17/2021 8:49:10 PM
From: TobagoJack2 Recommendations

Recommended By
ggersh
marcher

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217737
 
Funny, also, that perhaps Team Australia Best Buy submarines from Team China, for better quality, faster delivery, friendly service, and can even talk barter deals, metals for submarines, as opposed to having to tax its already heavily burdened tax-serfs and wire transfer to USA.

China stance-d to deliver submarines like dumplings, alongside a.i. enabled autonomous persistent loitering anti-submarine drone swarms

am agnostic, but believe the Aussie submarine deal in context of AUKUS shall meet with Afghanistan, as in Afghanistan-ed, a verb

regime-change, dunno, hard to say, because sometimes Aussies do not pay attention, sometimes cretinous, and other times clubbed by police

let's see

news.usni.org

Chinese Increasing Nuclear Submarine Shipyard Capacity

H I SuttonOctober 12, 2020 11:42 AM
H I Sutton Image. Used with permission

As China pushes to become a blue-water power, nuclear-powered submarines are critically important to Beijing’s plan. Historically the Chinese Navy’s (PLAN) nuclear-powered submarine fleet has been constrained by its limited construction capacity. There is only one shipyard in the country up to the task. But that yard has been undergoing a massive enlargement. And now, recent satellite imagery suggests an additional capacity expansion.

China’s nuclear-powered submarine fleet was already expected to get much larger in the coming years. This latest development suggests that China could pump out submarines at an even greater rate.

Just how many nuclear submarines China will build over the next ten years is a hot topic. The Office of Naval Intelligence (ONI) recently forecast China’s submarine fleet to grow by six nuclear-powered attack submarines by 2030. Other observers, such as retired Capt. James Fanell who was Director of Intelligence and Information Operations for the U.S. Navy’s Pacific Fleet, place their estimates even higher. What seems clear is that the number of nuclear submarines will increase.

Analysis of commercial satellite imagery reveals work on a new construction hall at the Bohai Shipyard at Huludao. The building appears to be essentially identical to the one built there in 2015. That is widely believed to be for the construction of a new generation of nuclear submarines.

The new hall is estimated to be large enough to allow construction of two submarines simultaneously. When added to the other hall recently constructed, that would allow four boats to be in the sheds at once. And there is another much older construction hall at the other end of the site which, if still active, could add another. So four or five boats at once.

The nuclear submarines include both ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs) and attack submarines (SSN). All nuclear submarines are built at the Bohai shipyard, so its capacity will be a major factor in the total fleet strength.

China’s naval growth has not gone unnoticed in Washington. In response, the U.S. Navy will have to adjust. Outlining the proposed Battle Force 2045, Defense Secretary Mark Esper said that the U.S. must begin building three Virginia Class submarines per year as soon as possible. This would build a “larger and more capable submarine force”. The proposed force will include 70-80 attack submarines, described as “the most survival strike platform in a future great powers conflict”.

There are three new classes of submarine which might be built at Bohai. The most straightforward is the Type-09IIIB (also written Type-093B). This is an iterative improvement on the current Type-09IIIA Shang-II Class submarine. The main improvement expected is the inclusion of cruise missiles in vertical launch tubes. These will allow it to carry an increased load of cruise missiles, improving its strategic strike capability. The YJ-18 cruise missiles are generally analogous to the Russian Kalibr family of missiles. China already operates Kalibr from some of its submarines.

More advanced than the Type-09III family is the next-generation Type-09V Tang Class (aka Type -095). This is expected to be everything the Type-09IIIB is, and also stealthier.

The third projected type is a next-generation ballistic missile submarine (SSBN). the Type-09VI (Type-096) will follow the current generation Type-09IV Jin Class (Type-094). They are expected to augment the six Type-09IV instead of replacing them, leading to a net increase in China’s SSBN fleet. The 2020 China Military Power Report to Congress projected an increase to eight SSBNs by 2030.

At this stage we are still learning new details of the Bohai shipyard expansion. We have yet to see any submarines roll out of the new halls. And it is possible that the newest shed may be intended for some other purpose. But the takeaway is that China is transforming its submarine construction capabilities. The work at Huludao will remove the physical constraint which previously limited their nuclear navy.



To: ggersh who wrote (178484)9/17/2021 9:06:49 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217737
 
Funny, as in odd, and requires watch & brief

ought to give the Aussies a hint what they have signed up for by AUKUS :0)

In the meantime let's see who else in-the-know volunteers to be thrown under the bus. Am fairly sure Milley not the sort to tattletale, but given the number of folks involved in the treasonous or heroic act, somebody might tell, and soon.

Wonder why Capital Hill not doing hearings. Briefings doubtless. What truth can the congress folks be hearing? And which version, targeting members from which party?

In any case, onward to 2022 / 2024.

nationalreview.com

Is the General Milley Story Really a Mark Esper Story?

Dan McLaughlin
September 15, 2021 1:37 PM
Defense Secretary Mark Esper (left) listens as Joint Chiefs Chairman Army General Mark Milley addresses a news conference at the Pentagon in Arlington, Va., April 14, 2020. (Jonathan Ernst/Reuters)

As I noted yesterday, the Washington Post’s account of General Mark Milley’s conversation with the head of the Chinese military is, if true as reported, grounds for immediate termination of the general and possibly graver sanctions. Generals do not get to make their own foreign policy, no matter how much they disagree with the president. Alexander Vindman, a former military adviser to White House and key Trump critic, agreed that this would be grounds for General Milley’s termination.

The Post account is drawn from a new book by Bob Woodward and Robert Costa, based on anonymous sources. As our editorial noted, Woodward’s reporting has had some serious credibility issues in the past, not that that has stopped the Beltway media from treating it as gospel for decades whenever it reflects what liberals want to hear is really going on in Republican White Houses. For my part, I was more inclined to believe Woodward and Costa this time because of the extensive indications that Milley and/or someone close and sympathetic to him were major sources for the book, which (judging from excerpts) appears to portray Milley as heroically standing in the path of an insane president bent on running the country into multiple new wars while abandoning the ones we were already fighting.

As of now, the central charge in the Woodward/Costa story has been neither denied nor rebutted: that General Milley communicated with the Chinese military a message at odds with what the president wanted as a matter of policy to communicate, and specifically told the Chinese general that if Trump ordered a military strike on China, Milley would give them advance warning. But there are two lines of pushback on this. One is not particularly persuasive, but the other would appear to exonerate the general of having made this decision on his own.

First, we have Jennifer Griffin of Fox News reporting, based on anonymous sources, that Milley had many staffers in the room:

By itself, this does not tell us much. Of course, a general talking to a foreign military leader will have his own staff in the room. If he is arrogating authority from the president, it is more rather than less dangerous that he has help. The question, however, is whether the senior political leadership was in the loop. That is where the additional reports from Jonathan Swan of Axios and Josh Rogin of the Post come into the picture. Swan reports, based on anonymous sources, that Milley was acting on the instructions of then–Defense Secretary Mark Esper:

Then-Defense Secretary Mark Esper worried the Chinese were misreading the situation and that their misperception could lead to a conflict nobody wanted.
Esper directed his policy office to issue a backchannel message to the Chinese to reassure them the U.S. had no intention of seeking a military confrontation. The message: Don’t over-read what you’re seeing in Washington; we have no intention to attack; and let’s keep lines of communication open.
These backchannel communications were handled a couple of levels below Esper, one of the sources said. U.S. officials involved thought the Chinese received the initial message well. Milley followed up later in the month with a call to his Chinese counterpart to reiterate the message, two of the sources confirmed.
It’s unclear whether anyone at the Pentagon told President Trump or the White House what they were doing.
Around the same time Esper learned of the Chinese concerns, he also learned that a long-planned deployment to Asia had been moved up a couple of weeks earlier than previously planned, to accommodate COVID quarantine protocols.
Esper told colleagues the last thing the Chinese needed to see at that moment — when they were already misreading Washington’s intentions — was more planes, according to one of the sources.
Esper went so far as to delay this long planned exercise in Asia until after the election, to lower the temperature.


Rogin, whom the Post should probably have involved before reporting the Woodward/Costa story as fact, adds, based on anonymous sources, that a source confirms Swan’s account:

Milley has issued, through a spokesman, a carefully worded statement that he was coordinating with the Defense Department, but not saying explicitly that he was working on Esper’s instructions:

If General Milley was following Esper’s lead — something not even hinted by Woodward and Costa — that does not make this a total nonstory. There is still the question of whether the secretary of defense was undermining the president. But it does exonerate the general of having done what the Postpreviously reported, because the buck stops with his civilian boss. Given the gravity of the charge, Congress is entitled to more than unnamed sources. General Milley is due to testify before the Senate Armed Services Committee on September 28, and he should be walked on the record through the Woodward and Costa report and asked, under oath, whether he said what was reported, whether he did so under the direction of the secretary of defense, and whether he was the source for the Woodward and Costa story.

In the meantime, the rest of us have one more reason to mistrust things that we’re told by Bob Woodward.



To: ggersh who wrote (178484)9/17/2021 9:21:17 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217737
 
AUKUS still-born would not be surprising in the course of the coming federal election

let's see

scmp.com



Why the US-led ‘Aukus’ security pact leaves Australia exposed

Signing on to a confrontational and provocative strategy to contain China exposes Australians to greater economic and security dangers – and reflects a further loss of independence for Australia

So what’s in this groundbreaking agreement for Australia? It certainly proves yet again that Washington can just about always rely on Canberra to respond positively to its military and diplomatic adventures and muscle flexing.

But when it comes to Australia’s direct interests, as opposed to those of its historic and deep alliances with the US and Britain, signing on to a confrontational and provocative strategy to contain China is surely inherently dangerous and reflects a further loss of independence for this nation in the Asia-Pacific region.

On that last point, Paul Keating , Australia’s prime minister from 1991-1996, pointed out in a statement condemning the pact that it “will amount to a lock-in of Australian military equipment and thereby forces, with those of the United States with only one underlying objective: the ability to act collectively in any military engagement by the United States against China”.

Keating argues that the agreement will lead to “a further dramatic loss of Australian sovereignty, as material dependency on the United States [will rob] Australia of any freedom or choice in any engagement Australia may deem appropriate”.

One would have thought that, in a democracy such as Australia, this new agreement would not be entered into, if at all, unless the community and its parliamentary representatives had discussed and debated it.

To build nuclear-powered vessels and to join a naked US attempt to contain China are seriously significant decisions which, as Keating says, could erode the independence of an important power in the region in which China is also a major player. But Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison presents it as a fait accompli without acknowledging for a moment that it might put Australians at greater economic and security risk.



09:20

Trade ‘only one part of the battle‘ in China-Australia dispute, says legal expert Bryan Mercurio

China is still Australia’s largest trading partner by a long shot, despite tensions in recent years resulting in trade barriers. Over 30 per cent of Australian exports head to China.

Only this week, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development warned that: “Any ratcheting up of tensions with China could further weaken trade activity” for Australia. There seems to be a blasé assumption among some in Australia that it does not matter how much provoking of China Canberra does – trade between the two nations will remain strong. It’s a delusion, of course.

And while there have been skirmishes between the two countries in the past five years over security and human rights issues in particular, surely the new pact with the US and Britain represents a serious escalation of the risk that the trade “love in” with China will evaporate?

It is notable that New Zealand, which has been part of the Australian and US alliance for over 70 years, is not included in this new pact. But that is because New Zealand has carved out its own independent foreign policy
for over three decades. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has confirmed that her nation will not be changing its ban on nuclear-powered vessels, in place since 1984.

And a reflection of New Zealand’s greater emphasis on controlling its own destiny is reflected in comments made to the media by a Victoria University professor, David Capie, in Wellington, who said the new pact shows “New Zealand and Australia were in a different space to begin with and this has perhaps just made that look sharper again”.

The Australian media and political class have dusted off the Cold War rhetoric book in recent times when it comes to China, but now this shrill hostility and fear have reached new heights, and with it comes a huge risk.

As one of the few sensible Australia-China relations commentators, Professor Hugh White from the Australian National University has said about this agreement: “When we look 10 or 20 years ahead, I don’t think we can assume that the United States is going to succeed in pushing back effectively against China … In the long run, Australia does have to ask whether we can continue to rely on the US.”

In other words, Australians are being exposed to a much more dangerous world, thanks to the political establishment’s inability to adopt anything other than a sycophantic posture towards Washington.

Greg Barns is a political commentator and former Australian government adviser



To: ggersh who wrote (178484)9/17/2021 10:07:37 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217737
 
UK & US wishes to stuff a nuke submarine Down Under, whereas Russia buys a nuke from China to power a mine that should output stuff that China buys back

scmp.com

First Chinese firm wins contract for Russian floating nuclear power project


Shipbuilder Wison (Nantong) Heavy Industries Co has been commissioned to build the hulls for two floating plants for state-run RosatomThe two countries have been steadily developing political and economic ties, with energy a key area of cooperation

Published: 12:00pm, 16 Sep, 2021



Russia’s Akademik Lomonosov is the country’s first floating nuclear plant. Photo: Rosatom

A Chinese firm has been given a contract to help build a Russian floating nuclear power plant in the first commission of its kind as the two countries step up their cooperation in the sector.

China’s Wison (Nantong) Heavy Industries Co won a bid to build the hulls for two floating nuclear power plants for Rosatom, a Russian state nuclear energy corporation, at a price of US$226 million, the newspaper Kommersant reported.

The two floating nuclear power plants will be used to supply power to the Baimsky mining and processing plant in Chukotka in Russia’s far east.

Russia completed the world’s first floating nuclear power plant, the Akademik Lomonosov, in 2019 and is building more to provide power to remote areas of the country.

China opens first plant that will turn nuclear waste into glass
12 Sep 2021



According to analysts cited by the report, the Chinese shipyard was chosen for reasons of cost effectiveness and its ability to complete the work on time.

The report said the hulls would be delivered to Russian shipyards after completion in 2023 and 2024, where key work, including the installation of reactors, would be carried out.

The head of Rosatom’s engineering division Andrey Nikipelov said earlier this year that Russia was leading the way with the technology, but China is also looking to build its own floating nuclear power plants.

In 2016, China National Nuclear Corporation announced plans to build 20 in the South China Sea. Analysts said at the time that the floating plants could help the country strengthen its presence in the disputed waters .

The country’s latest five-year plan, announced earlier this year, also included a commitment to promote the construction of floating nuclear power plants.

China and Russia have been steadily developing their relationship in the face of their shared rivalry with the United States, and energy and technology are among the main areas for cooperation, including nuclear power.

Chinese President Xi Jinping and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin witnessed the groundbreaking ceremony of a joint nuclear energy project this May .

Cheng Yijun, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said the successful bid highlighted the competitiveness of China’s manufacturing industry.

“Of course, the ‘first-time’ [involvement] is of great significance. But this project and whether nuclear power plants will be built in the South China Sea is an entirely different matter,” Cheng said.



To: ggersh who wrote (178484)9/18/2021 2:06:28 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217737
 
Funnier ... stuff top of mind of an America lady living down under, making me suspicious that the entire aukus deal is a back- or under-handed way for the Aussies to pick up some of the tab for having like-mindedly losing the Afghanistan war

either that or the like-minded did not think through the problem of building nuke subs on essentially a desert island devoid of nuclear talent except those imported from ... china

in the meantime, those 'conventional' engineers, having been working for upwards of 6-years on the French submarine localisation effort shall have not much to do and presumably live on the dole, or migrate to china to help out with underwater drones which presumably are not nuke powered even if capable of nuclear-tipping

:0)

the entire episode seems a pink panther episode of diplomacy & strategy



here is a guy who is pro-nuke-sub

and he pointed out that Australia spent a lot of years transforming the French nuke sub design into a conventional sub

the project shall increase Aussie defence budget might be anywhere from 50-100% rise.

messages from views are telling, as the show was aired, and the fellow wants to name the first submarine 'Xi Jinping'




To: ggersh who wrote (178484)9/18/2021 9:50:03 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217737
 
Funny … next would be letter-size paper I suppose

nytimes.com

Britain Signals Intent to Revert to the Imperial System

The government announced plans to allow shops to sell produce in pounds and ounces, rather than using the metric system, as part of an effort to “capitalize on new Brexit freedoms.”
Sept. 17, 2021


The British government said it would pursue plans to allow shops and market stalls to sell fruits and vegetables labeled solely in imperial units of measurement.Kevin Coombs/Reuters

LONDON — The British government said it was taking steps to return to its traditional system of imperial weights and measures, allowing shops and market stalls to sell fruits and vegetables labeled in pounds and ounces alone, rather than in the metric system’s grams and kilograms, a move it hailed as an example of the country’s new post-Brexit freedoms.

The plans, which David Frost, the minister overseeing Brexit, announced on Thursday, were cheered by Brexit supporters, many of whom had argued that the switch to the metric system over the decades was a sign of unwelcome European Union interference in daily life in Britain.

While the European Union currently requires members to use the metric system alone, it had allowed Britain, when it was a member, to label its produce in imperial units alongside metric units. There were also exceptions for traffic signs and beer.

As part of its exit from the European Union, the British government is now reviewing thousands of E.U. rules that it retained and determining whether they best serve the national interest. Those rules include the E.U. ban on sales in imperial units, which the British government said it would legislate changes to “in due course.”

Since Britain formally split from the European Union on Jan. 1, after nearly 50 years of membership, Prime Minister Boris Johnson has touted his vision of a “Global Britain” that would flourish without being shackled by rules imposed by the 27-member bloc.

British officials have pointed to developments, such as changing the color of British passports from the European Union’s burgundy to Britain’s traditional blue, which was dropped in 1988, as bold and triumphant symbols of the country’s new freedom.

But critics, including the 48 percent of voters who did not support Britain’s exit, have said such advances seem small and not very helpful at a time when employers are struggling to fill thousands of jobs, vacant in part because of the exodus of European Union immigrants since the vote to leave the bloc.

Among the concerns about the country’s fragile economic recovery are a variety of new time-consuming and confusing procedures that have made importing and exporting goods to and from the European Union more difficult, shortages at British supermarkets and a rift over unresolved trade rules for Northern Ireland.

Nevertheless, Mr. Frost, the Brexit minister, said on Thursday that the move toward the imperial system would be part of the broader changes Britain was making to “capitalize on new Brexit freedoms.”

“Overbearing regulations were often conceived and agreed in Brussels with little consideration of the U.K. national interest,” he said in announcing the intention to introduce legislation to change the rules. “We now have the opportunity to do things differently and ensure that Brexit freedoms are used to help businesses and citizens get on and succeed.”

Tony Bennett, a member of Active Resistance to Metrication, a small group that has for years been pushing for England to return to its old weights and measurements, said he was celebrating the development.

Mr. Bennett said the campaign to leave the European Union and the campaign to revert to imperial measurements had to do with preserving what he saw as the gradual erosion of British culture and tradition.

“The system of weights and measures is integral to our daily life and also to our written culture, our language,” he said, citing expressions like “an inch is as good as a mile,” and “inching forward.” He estimates that he and his group have placed stickers over thousands of signs in public parks and on roads that use the metric system in England over the last two decades.

A road sign in South Shropshire that Tony Bennett, 74, changed so that it would display feet and not meters.Tony Bennett

Since at least medieval times, the English have used their own set measurements, including inches, feet, stones, miles and acres, many of which are still used in the United States. But for decades, the British government had been pushing people to use the metric system, used in most of the world and developed using decimalized metric standards during the French Revolution.

Supporters of the metric system say its use is necessary for companies to compete globally, since so many countries use it. Those passionate about the metric system also point to the fact that Britain began its switch to the metric system in 1965, eight years before it joined the European Union. Others said there were more pressing issues to focus on, like cuts to public services.

A poll by YouGov in 2015 of British adults found that younger people tended to favor the metric system, with more than 60 percent of those ages 18 to 39 saying they would measure short distances in meters, compared with less than 12 percent of those over 60.

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