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To: DavidG who wrote (27825)2/5/1998 12:41:00 PM
From: Tim McCormick  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 53903
 
Brown Bros. downgrade to avoid-
biz.yahoo.com ,Tim



To: DavidG who wrote (27825)2/5/1998 2:07:00 PM
From: Thomas G. Busillo  Respond to of 53903
 
David, a stunning new development in the "It's Deja MU all over again"
theory - Bill Milton at Brown Brothers Harriman downed it to an
"avoid" from a hold. Didn't catch the reasons (on Yahoo tables), but
he's a guy who has been very good on short-term rec.'s in regards to
MU.

Last time he downed it to an avoid, mid-August, it was about 42 (from
memory, so I may be slightly off). It subsequently fell about 20 pts.

Last time he upped it to a hold late Dec. (?), was about 24-25. It
rose about 14.

IMHO, that's impressive, especially when you consider the guy probably
doesn't have the "share of voice" that a Kurlak or some of the new
semiconductor "analysts" like Abbey Cohen and Ralph Acampora have.

So now another piece of the puzzle falls into place.

Here's an updated "It's Deja MU all over again" breakdown (alternative
title "Anatomy of a Short-Squeeze", for Otto Premminger fans <g>):

Jul/Aug 1997 Jan/Feb 1998
Conference Robbie Stephens Montgomery
Presentation

The analyst of the Dan Niles John Joseph
host firm touts it
the next day

"Big wheels" pile on Tom Kurlak Ralph Acampora
one week after the (and little Hans)
presentation

Reports of Asian Yes Yes
competitors stopping
production?

Follows brief rally
in DRAM pricing? Yes Yes

Trades >18 mil. shares
over 2 days and shows
slight Wm%R divergence Yes Yes

Downgrades/Revisions Lazlo Milton
Milton
Kurlak

Peaks @ roughly Yes Looks possible
50% high-low
retracement

Same as it ever was.

Good trading,

Tom