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To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (8139)10/20/2021 6:15:42 AM
From: elmatador1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Cogito Ergo Sum

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13796
 
The LatAm countries that Canadian pension fund CPPIB is targeting~

The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB), one of the world's largest pension funds, has selected five countries in Latin America as part of its plan to increase investments in emerging markets.

As part of this strategy, CPPIB will focus on Brazil, Mexico, Peru, Chile and Colombia as those countries offer an attractive expansion potential and long-term legal stability.

BnamericasPublished: Thursday, May 27, 2021
Natural disasters / Health Crisis Private Investment Private equity and venture capital Pensions & Annuity Asset Management Show 7 more


The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB), one of the world's largest pension funds, has selected five countries in Latin America as part of its plan to increase investments in emerging markets.

As part of this strategy, CPPIB will focus on Brazil, Mexico, Peru, Chile and Colombia as those countries offer an attractive expansion potential and long-term legal stability.

The fund closed its fiscal year ending March 31 with assets worth US$410bn.

Rodolfo Spielmann, who is managing director and head of CPPIB’s operations in Latin America, talked with BNamericas about the plans for the region.

BNamericas: How does CPPIB operate and what are your investment strategies?

Spielmann: CPPIB is an asset manager for the Canadian workers' pension funds, with the exception of the province of Quebec.

The fund has recorded a surplus since the 1990s when there was a reform to the system. So this means that the fund brings in more than what it spends on pension payments and this generates a surplus for us to invest in assets worldwide.

It is important to explain the fact that we have a surplus because that gives us the peace of mind of adopting a long-term investment strategy. There are no risks of liquidity events as we are in no rush to sell assets.

Based on this strategy, we look at investments in various asset classes, from short-term assets such as derivatives, index funds and commodity funds, to exchange rates, and long-term assets, such as equities. And [we] also look at assets in the infrastructure, energy and real estate sectors.

BNamericas: What are CPPIB's strategies for Latin America?

Spielmann: We have a division within the fund that we call emerging markets which mainly includes China, India and some countries in Latin America. It also includes a small number of countries in Southeast Asia.

With that said, our investment position in emerging countries is around 21% of our portfolio and we want to reach 33% by 2025.

In Latin America, we have a well-defined strategy focused on five countries: Brazil, Mexico, Peru, Chile and Colombia.

Of these five countries, we have already invested in four and we want to make an investment debut in Colombia.

BNamericas: What is your plan for Colombia?

Spielmann: In Colombia, we have been evaluating operations in a private equity format, in addition to the infrastructure, real estate and energy sectors. We are interested in the country because it has a long-term positive outlook.

BNamericas: In the Latin American countries, what kind of assets are you interested in?

Spielmann: What we are looking at are mainly assets in the area of infrastructure and sanitation. We also look at the credit market and private equity operations, along with the real estate segment. It is a very diversified strategy.

We have all these diversified strategies because we have groups organized globally that look at assets in different segments, energy, infrastructure, among others.

Our plan is to increase the share of assets in emerging markets because in the long term they are assets and regions that generate the greatest investment return.

BNamericas: In the region, especially in Brazil, there is an ambitious agenda of government concessions. Are you interested in participating directly in these concessions?

Spielmann: We are hardly going to make an investment in a green field project. It is not in our interest, for example, to build a highway, an airport. Our focus is to act as a financial investor, we do not engage in the execution of works and projects because we do not have this expertise.

We like to invest in operators, like we do in Chile, in highway operator Grupo Costanera, or in the sanitation area in Brazil, where we acquired a stake in [utility] Iguá Saneamento.

With that said, I think sectors such as highways, the digital infrastructure sector, here I am talking about telecommunications towers, airports, ports, urban infrastructure and sanitation, are all segments that interest us.

BNamericas: Amid the growing global demand for ESG [environmental, social and governance] practices, are there sectors in which you do not invest or plan to reduce your investments?

Spielmann: We have a culture of evaluating all our investments taking into account the ESG aspects. Because of this, we have never invested, for example, in the US prison sector or in companies in the arms sector.

On the other hand, we have been working with the companies that we invest in for greater engagement with the energy transition. So we exert influence so that these processes evolve within the companies we invest in.

BNamericas: Latin America is a region that has been strongly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. How do you assess the current scenario in the region?

Spielmann: First we need to talk about the impacts on the health side.

In Latin America we have a sad record in terms of the number of deaths and infections. This is very sad, but I also think that there is an aspect in the region that the accounting of these numbers has been more correct and transparent than in other countries of the world, where the accounting of deaths and infections seem to have been a bit underestimated.

That being said, this is a scenario that will not improve very fast and the only thing that will help is the vaccine.

So we still have a job to do with more vaccination and this is what worries me the most as only this [faster vaccination] will open the doors of the economy.

Regarding economic performance, the region’s economy, mainly here in Brazil, was not so bad last year as expected. But this year growth in the region should be less than what we will see in developed countries, which have advanced faster with vaccinations.

At the same time, governments in Latin America have to make progress in terms of economic reforms to attract private sector investments.

We have a clear example of this: In Brazil, we invested this year in Igua Saneamento after the regulatory change in the sanitation sector. The reforms are already attracting investments and we are the best example of this since Igua was a winner in the recent sanitation [concession] auction in Rio de Janeiro.

Economic reforms move the economy, generate investments, generate jobs.

It is important that the concession and privatization agenda in Brazil continues to advance and that is what attracts long-term capital.

BNamericas: Recent elections in Latin America point to a strong polarization between the forces of the left and the right. How do you assess this scenario?

Spielmann: I would like to use an example that we saw in Brazil. In 2002, when the PT [the leftist Workers party] came to power there was fear of a rupture in the country and there was a strong outflow of capital. Over time we saw that there was no rupture, the government that took office adopted fiscal responsibility and things moved forward.

In Mexico today, we have some negative news, but looking at the big picture we see a responsible government.

In Chile there are changes regarding the country's constitution that are in progress, but all within a democratic process. So what we see are movements of volatility, but that do not point to a rupture.

A rupture takes place when we have breach of contracts that affect long-term contracts of 30 or 35 years. Major rule changes have not taken place in the region, with some exceptions of course like Venezuela, and to some extent Argentina.

At the end of the day, what matters for investors is that there are no changes to the rules of the game.

When I told you that our focus is to invest in five countries here in Latin America, this is because we are convinced that in these countries the rules of the game will be maintained.

I think the message I have for governments in the region is that the homework to be done now, is to move forward with the reform agenda.



To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (8139)10/20/2021 6:16:54 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13796
 
Two Minutes with Rodolfo Spielmann on Investing in Latin America
December 10th, 2019

Rodolfo Spielmann is CPP Investments’ Managing Director, Head of Latin America

What is the biggest misconception or most significant blind spot when assessing the growth outlook for Latin America?

People don’t realize the strength of the reformist mindset within Latin America in terms of getting away from state intervention and moving toward free markets, private enterprise and private capital.

After decades of trying different models, countries in the region are moving away from government interventionist concepts, which held many countries back. While there’s lots still to be done, these movements probably have not been widely identified due to short-term noise.

Not many international or institutional investors have as significant a local presence as ours. This presence allows us to go beyond the big headlines and see what is really happening – the underlying trends of where the region is going in the long term.

Being global, but at the same time local in terms of understanding, is key. It ensures we see the long-term trends but also don’t underestimate the risks we might find in the region.

We’re now 30 people in São Paulo and, in terms of assets and in terms of people, the largest institutional investor in Latin America. You cannot view emerging markets through the lens of investing in Canada, the U.S. or Europe. You have to be much more alert and I think that is sometimes underestimated.

We’re now 30 people in São Paulo and, in terms of assets and in terms of people, the largest institutional investor in Latin America.

What industries pose the most attractive growth opportunities in Latin America?

There’s a combination of drivers that make two big areas interesting.

The first is a combination of infrastructure, energy and resources. This area has been neglected for decades because the state wanted to play an important role, resulting in very inefficient management, corruption and lack of resources.

It’s a huge area: roads, airports, ports and, in some cases, mining resources. It even goes into energy infrastructure, like electricity transmission lines, or oil and gas pipelines. Throughout the region, there is a strong drive to let private enterprise invest, manage, and do things like extract oil and gas and build infrastructure.

The second area is related to the growing middle classes. As growth creates and distributes wealth, there is pent-up demand not only for consumer goods but also for services that improve the quality of life, such as education and healthcare.

These are sectors where private capital will become more active and growth will be gradual but steady.

This year marks the fifth anniversary of our São Paulo office. What has been the most significant change to CPP Investments’ strategic approach to investing in the region since our office opened?

I think the most remarkable thing has been our strategic consistency, even when it’s meant being contrary in the market.

At one point everybody was opening offices and investing in Brazil, but it was a bubble moment. They came in with the boom and left with the bust – the worst recession in decades, which came along with a corruption scandal.

For people reading the headlines from far away, it looked scary. But we saw the turmoil as short term. Long term, we were always positive on the economic side.

We kept a consistent strategy of building the local team when other international investors were closing their offices. We kept hiring at a time when no one was really hiring; and started to invest when we thought the time was right, and the valuations and the returns were there.



To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (8139)10/21/2021 9:26:37 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13796
 
China energy crunch may boost overseas metal producers: Russell

CONTRIBUTOR
Clyde Russell Reuters

PUBLISHED
OCT 4, 2021 12:14AM EDT

CREDIT: REUTERS/BOBBY YIP
The energy crunch in China has some obvious winners, with coal and liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices surging to record highs, but the outlook for other commodities is more mixed and dependent on how the crisis plays out.

By Clyde Russell

Oct 4 (Reuters) - The energy crunch in China has some obvious winners, with coal and liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices surging to record highs, but the outlook for other commodities is more mixed and dependent on how the crisis plays out.

China's officials have been scrambling in recent days to ensure that the world's second-biggest economy has sufficient fuel supplies for winter, basically calling on traders and utilities to do whatever it takes.

It's little surprise that benchmark Australian thermal coal prices at Newcastle port ARGMCCINDX=ARG, as assessed by commodity price reporting agency Argus, spiked to a record high of $203.65 a tonne in the week to Oct. 1, up 12.7% from the prior week.

Spot LNG prices in Asia LNG-AS also leapt to a record high last week, hitting $32 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), amid reports of some cargoes trading as high as $36 per mmBtu.

These prices speak to a certain level of desperation as Chinese buyers try to secure cargoes ahead of winter demand.

But it's also likely that the current rally is temporary and won't last beyond winter, given that demand for fuel will diminish as the cold weather moderates and China will likely by then be able to ramp up domestic coal output, and even boost domestic natural gas production.

But the secondary impacts from the current energy crunch could be longer lasting.

What commodities are affected will largely depend on how China chooses to ration power demand over winter.

Current indications are that producers of primary metals will be asked to cut back more than secondary users such as manufacturers.

If this is the case it should mean China will see lower production of metals such as steel, aluminium and refined copper.

But if the consumers of these metals, such as manufacturing and construction, are able to continue to operate in order to try and maintain economic growth and employment, it will serve to boost prices as supply becomes constrained.

This could benefit non-China producers of metals, especially those operating in countries where energy prices haven't soared.

AUSTRALIA TO WIN?

A standout example could be aluminium smelters in Australia, where power prices have yet to rise as most coal-fired generators have longer-term supply contracts that are insulated from the current surge in spot prices, and the increasing share of renewable generation is cheap.

A further boost for non-China metal producers could come in the form of lower exports if Beijing prioritises domestic supplies.

China exported 490,000 tonnes of unwrought aluminium and products in August, according to customs data, up from July's 470,000 tonnes. However, over the first eight months of the year, aluminium exports slipped 10.3%.

China also exported 5.05 million tonnes of steel products in August, down from July's 5.67 million, and well below the 2021 peak of 7.97 million in April.

If domestic steel prices do rally on power-related curbs to production at mills, it would be logical to assume that steel exports will continue to fall.

However, if metal production in China does dip on power curbs, this would be bearish for the raw materials used, such as iron ore, alumina and bauxite, as well as base metal ores such as copper and nickel.

Iron ore has already given up all of its gains in 2021, with the spot price for delivery to north China MTIOQIN62=ARG ending at $118.05 a tonne on Oct. 1, down almost 50% of its record high $235.55 reached on May 12.

In some ways what has happened to iron ore is likely to repeat with thermal coal and LNG.

Iron ore surged from its coronavirus pandemic-induced lows of $79.60 a tonne in March last year to the record high amid strong Chinese demand and supply constraints in top exporters Australia and Brazil.

But as soon as China started cutting steel output, and the weather disruptions ended in Australia and Brazil's coronavirus-related cutbacks eased, iron ore plunged.

Right now thermal coal and LNG are hitting record highs amid the same story of massive Chinese demand and supply constraints in major exporters, with coal producers in top exporters Indonesia and Australia lacking the ability to rapidly boost output, and LNG exporters in several countries battling unplanned outages.

China seasonal metals outputhttps://tmsnrt.rs/3ohZ7Wy