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Strategies & Market Trends : SPY Advance - Decline data for 2014 through 2016 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: rimshot who wrote (773)10/28/2021 8:05:53 AM
From: rimshot  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1118
 
briefing.com Market Wrap in the October 28 early pre-market:

28-Oct-21 07:58 ET

Futures edge higher in front of Q3 GDP report

Market is Closed
S&P futures vs fair value: +22.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +93.30. The S&P 500 futures trade 23 points, or 0.5%, above fair value following yesterday's decline,
which was rooted in growth concerns, profit-taking interest, and fatigue.

The tone has shifted to a buy-the-dip mindset with some earnings-related help from the likes of Caterpillar (CAT 202.00, +5.87, +3.0%), Merck (MRK 83.00, +1.46, +1.8%), Comcast (CMCSA 54.00, +1.56, +3.0%), and Ford Motor (F 16.98, +1.47, +9.5%).

In addition, media reports indicate that President Biden is expected to announce a framework for the budget reconciliation bill today and meet with Progressives to persuade them to vote for the bipartisan infrastructure bill.

Things could change, though, with the release of the advance estimate for Q3 GDP (Briefing.com consensus 2.4%) at 8:30 a.m. ET. The weekly Initial Claims (Briefing.com consensus 291,000) and Continuing Claims report will accompany the GDP report, followed by Pending Home Sales for September (Briefing.com consensus 1.0%) at 10:00 a.m. ET.

Strikingly, the positive disposition is coinciding with continued upwards momentum in the 2-yr yield, which is up another seven basis points to 0.55% on increasing expectations for the Fed to hike rates sooner than expected. The 10-yr yield is up two basis points to 1.55%. The U.S. Dollar Index is flat at 93.82. WTI crude is down 1.7% to $81.22/bbl.

On a related note, the Bank of Canada said it's ending its quantitative easing program and moved up its forecast for possible rate hikes, according to The Wall Street Journal. The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan both left interest rates unchanged, as expected. The ECB also left its asset purchase program intact.

In U.S. Corporate news:



. Caterpillar (CAT 202.00, +5.87): +3.0% after beating EPS estimates.
  • Merck (MRK 83.00, +1.46): +1.8% after beating top and bottom-line estimates and raising its FY21 guidance, which doesn't include the impact of the potential launch of its COVID-19 antiviral drug candidate, molnupiravir.
  • Comcast (CMCSA 54.00, +1.56): +3.0% after beating top and bottom-line estimates.
  • Ford Motor (F 16.98, +1.47): +9.5% after beating top and bottom-line estimates and increasing guidance for FY21 adjusted EBIT to $10.5-11.5 bln.
  • Twilio (TWLO 299.01, -46.65): -13.5% despite beating top and bottom-line estimates and guiding Q4 revenue above consensus. Q4 EPS guidance was below consensus.
Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Thursday on a lower note. Japan's Nikkei: -1.0% Hong Kong's Hang Seng: -0.3% China's Shanghai Composite: -1.2% India's Sensex: -1.9% South Korea's Kospi: -0.5% Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.2%.
    • In economic data:
      • Japan's September Retail Sales -0.6% yr/yr (expected -2.3%; last -3.2%)
      • Australia's Q3 Import Price Index 5.4% qtr/qtr (last 1.9%) and Export Price Index 6.2% qtr/qtr (last 13.2%)
    • In news:
      • The Bank of Japan left its interest on excess reserves at -0.10%, in-line with expectations. The central bank lowered its domestic growth forecast for 2021 to 3.4% from 3.8% and cut its inflation forecast to 0% from 0.6%.
      • Japan's Prime Minister Kishida is expected to act in response to rising oil prices.
      • Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Debelle said that higher inflation is the aim of monetary policy. There are growing expectations that the RBA will alter its yield curve control policy at next week's meeting.
  • Major European indices trade in mixed fashion. STOXX Europe 600: +0.1% Germany's DAX: -0.1% U.K.'s FTSE 100: -0.2% France's CAC 40: +0.6% Italy's FTSE MIB: +0.5% Spain's IBEX 35: +0.3%.
    • In economic data:
      • Eurozone's October Business and Consumer Survey 118.6 (expected 116.9; last 117.8)
      • Germany's October Unemployment Change -39,000 (expected -20,000; last -30,000) and Unemployment Rate 5.4%, as expected (last 5.5%)
      • Italy's October Business Confidence 114.9 (expected 112.2; last 113.2) and Consumer Confidence 118.4 (expected 118.5; last 119.6) September PPI 1.6% m/m (last 0.5%); 13.3% yr/yr (last 11.6%)
      • Spain's October CPI 2.0% m/m (last 0.8%); 5.5% yr/yr (last 4.0%)
    • In news:
      • The U.K. warned that it will retaliate if France follows through on its threat to slow border checks due to the ongoing fishing dispute.
      • Volkswagen reported above-consensus results and lowered its forecast for 2021 deliveries.
      • Germany's Association of Chambers of Trade and Industry lowered its domestic growth forecast for 2021 to 2.3% from 3.0% while the CPI forecast was increased to 3.0% from 2.2%.



To: rimshot who wrote (773)11/3/2021 9:37:11 PM
From: rimshot  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1118
 
November 3rd completes the very best 5 consecutive days in any year for acting upon an upward trading bias:

pbs.twimg.com

Message #773 from rimshot at 10/26/2021 11:28:17 AM

single best day of the year to buy the close and hold for the next 5 trading days is tomorrow, October 27

t.co

Ryan Detrick, CMT