To: Ramsey Su who wrote (8008 ) 2/6/1998 1:37:00 AM From: Clarksterh Respond to of 152472
Ramsey - My cut after a little more thought, and subject to more additions is: Boeing - will be hurt because many of new orders were coming from SEA, and now many of these same airlines are not only canceling orders, but selling planes. I read a story recently where one normally prosperous SEA airline (Singapore?) actually has flights that are practically empty. Loral, Hughes Telecomm - Both have huge amounts of their commercial business with SEA (50% is a good guess for all of Asia). I work in this industry, and I actually know of instances where countries ordered satellites, not because they need them, but because it is a symbol of pride. The orders for these will, I'm sure, dry up entirely, and even the real profit driven satellites will disappear to some extent. (Note that Lockheed is more concentrated in government, and TRW is almost purely government) Anyone have anything else to add to the list? I am sure that there is going to be at least one switching network provider hurt severely, and there is one timing devices maker which sells primarily to Korea (but I can't remember the name). Finally of course there are probably a few shipping companies which will be hurt as imports to SEA dry up. I don't know of any other areas where SEA was expanding dramatically and the US was supplying parts. (Steel or most electronic gadgets, for instance, are mainly produced in Japan). Of course there are areas that will be damaged by ripple effects, and there will be some damage to companies like IBM because SEA was starting to install mainframes, but I suspect the effect will be small. Clark PS As for AMAT, I suspect that they will be hurt temporarily, but that since the end user demand is still there, areas with still healthy economies will pick up the slack as soon as the dust settles.