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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: rimshot who wrote (43712)11/18/2021 11:32:29 AM
From: ajtj991 Recommendation

Recommended By
rimshot

  Respond to of 97492
 
Current projections out today put nominal Q4 GDP at 8.2%. However, inflation may rip out nearly all of that growth and knock it back below 2% real GDP growth.



To: rimshot who wrote (43712)11/18/2021 11:38:50 AM
From: Sun Tzu1 Recommendation

Recommended By
ajtj99

  Respond to of 97492
 
But if the concern was just inflation eating into profits, then bond yields would have been shooting up. Instead $TNX has slowed down its upward trajectory and is now below where it was a month ago. Similarly, vacation, oil, copper, etc are also flat to down.

The market has conflicting news. On one hand inflation. On the other slowing growth. It is trying to balance the two side and assign probabilities.