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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (43955)	11/19/2021 6:48:49 AM
From: Sun Tzu	2 Recommendations Recommended By Jacob Snyder Lee Lichterman III Respond to of 97560

Emerging markets.

To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (43955)	11/19/2021 9:11:38 AM
From: Real Man	2 Recommendations Recommended By Lee Lichterman III sunabeach Respond to of 97560

I say we hike the rates and live. Currency crises pass, but hyperinflations linger.

To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (43955)	11/21/2021 1:22:51 AM
From: roto	3 Recommendations Recommended By ajtj99 Jacob Snyder Lee Lichterman III Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 97560

OT much sorry for the late reply. <<where can USA citizens hide in the future>> I'll stick with the American side of the argument. For a great world leadership, an increased/ & increasing median age ratio, will negatively affect that country. What plays is their "mortality bias". The median age in China is 38.4yrs, increasing each year by +3% of that value.. so 2022, that projection should be +39.5%. Currently, China's TFR (Total Fertility Rate) 2020 is 1.3.. much below the required 2.1% of the native population. China's national growth is negative. Also, it must be realized that China has historically suffered gender bias. There are by some estimates a surplus of men- to- women between 35- 40mil (maybe huge demand for sexbots very soon). Chinese pensions are something new, and not all people have access/ or will, when they retire. In China the national concept of family, "filial piety" exists.. in other words, the care of the elderly. Chinese women, by their own economic success, are putting off marriage & of course children, to a later age, if at all. The only solution to a country that suffers an increasingly positive median age with no hope for national growth is via immigration. China is increasingly so, an insular country.. there is no allowable immigration from elsewhere. Besides, who will go there? Maybe by 2030 the Chinese experiment fizzles. <<(Replacement level fertility and future population growth pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov "A Total Fertility Rate (TFR) of 2.1 represents the Replacement-Level Fertility: the average number of children per woman needed for each generation to exactly replace itself without needing international immigration. A value below 2.1 will cause the native population to decline")>> As a guide, Viet Nam, the median age is 32.5yrs. VietNam's TFR is 2.1 Obviously, going forward, VietNam is doing okay.. healthy, socially & economically. In the U.S. the median age is 38yrs, The TFR is 1.78, but not odd, the U.S. has no problem on immigration. We are a nation of immigrants. (that is who will pay our Soc.Sec checks going forward)