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Strategies & Market Trends : Dividend Growth Investing and chit chat. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: chowder who wrote (1579)12/8/2021 4:52:46 PM
From: cemanuel1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Dave the wildpitcher

  Respond to of 2146
 
"Fidelity provides 3-5 earnings growth projections but that seems to far out to me."

Same reason I ignore people who use 5-yr PEG in setting prices. Not only does 5 years seem too long for analysts to be accurate, research - as published in peer-reviewed academic journals - show that it is.

I like analysts 12 months out. Further? I'll just track the company going forward and hope it doesn't wreck, at least not without giving me a big disembark signal.



To: chowder who wrote (1579)12/8/2021 4:58:32 PM
From: R.Daneel.Olivaw4 Recommendations

Recommended By
cemanuel
Dave the wildpitcher
maybenot
onlywords

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 2146
 
RE: FINRA website

You can get current year and next year forecasts on the FINRA website

FINRA

Enter a ticker, go to Valuation tab, click Wall Street estimates.

The data is from morningstar, no logon needed, lots of free information.



To: chowder who wrote (1579)12/8/2021 5:04:36 PM
From: R.Daneel.Olivaw1 Recommendation

Recommended By
red cardinal

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2146
 
RE: Testing the reply feature. (Still learning on SI)

BTW-this is a reply to Chowders original message. If you click the original in the upper left, you will be taken to the original message. Clicking on 'read replies' on the upper right of that message will show you the all the replies allowing you to follow the thread.



To: chowder who wrote (1579)12/8/2021 6:31:41 PM
From: Dave the wildpitcher  Respond to of 2146
 
Re: 3-5 year estimates

Yes, what you say makes sense.

Another thing I do is look at the projections in different ways. What kind of growth are they assuming to get to that estimate? What happens if the PE comes in below where they project? In general, do the numbers make sense to me.

I agree, the further out you get, the less accurate they tend to be on an absolute number basis.

Dave



To: chowder who wrote (1579)12/9/2021 1:12:48 PM
From: DaveVK1 Recommendation

Recommended By
cemanuel

  Respond to of 2146
 
I think Chuck studied and decided estimates out beyond 2 years weren’t worth a damn. That’s why his dotted-line estimates at the right side of his graphs only go 2 years beyond the current.
Dave