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Strategies & Market Trends : Dividend Growth Investing and chit chat. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: chowder who wrote (1634)12/9/2021 7:52:08 PM
From: Dave the wildpitcher  Respond to of 2146
 
Re: HRL

I have never owned this one, but I have looked at it scores of times.

The cash flow has been flat for a few years, but Value Line is predicting it will begin to grow again in 2022. If that happens, the current price for HRL might turn out to be a fair one.

You said that Argus has a Hold on it. That to me is at least a "yellow flag", as they have Buy on 3/4 of the stocks they follow. Looking at their report, their main concern seems to be over the next 12 months, due to supply chain issues and inflation for input costs. They have it as a Buy long term.

I agree with Argus that HRL is probably right around fair value here.

Dave



To: chowder who wrote (1634)12/10/2021 9:12:08 AM
From: OneDonatoOne1 Recommendation

Recommended By
rnsmth

  Respond to of 2146
 
I can understand the analysts having HRL in a Hold (neutral) rating. Since starting with a full position purchase in 2017, when the decision to shift to a DGI portfolio was made, HRL has been priced with a premium.


As for price valuations, it seldom has presented opportunities as low as anticipated or desired. HRL is one of those higher sought after SWAN stocks that primarily performs the same regardless of economic conditions. I have found this quality company to be highly dependable to provide the safe dividend growth I seek -an Aristocrat with 54 years of growth through many recessions. The management and culture attest to the quality of the company -very important to me, actually one of the most important factors. I must also add the company is a very focused corporate citizen.


For these reasons, the company is attractive to those seeking these desirable qualities in a DGI portfolio. It is no surprise, to me anyhow, why there is a price premium. Not saying the valuations won’t resort to the mean but rather long-term sentiment has supported higher valuations for quite some time for the reasons mentioned.