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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JamesK who wrote (51907)1/19/2022 12:32:24 PM
From: Art Bechhoefer1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Lance Bredvold

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52153
 
There has been a gradual decline in prices of numerous small and medium size biotech firms over the last several weeks on the premise that higher interest rates and inflation make these development stage firms, most of which pay no dividends and operate at a loss, less attractive. Larger firms, like AstraZeneca, which pay dividends, no matter whether they have large debts, have retained their share price, even if it is not going up much, if at all.

The main issues, as I see it, are (1) a very short term outlook on the part of large scale investors and traders, and (2) fear that proposed government regulations on pricing of certain high priced prescription drugs will reduce drug profits substantially.

There's no possibility of changing the minds of investors geared to short term profits, but the very existence of large numbers of investors with similar mindset has led to many smaller, development stage biotechs performing poorly. As for proposed government regulations (part of the Build Back better legislation going nowhere fast in Congress), every instance for more than 60 years, when drugs were made more available to the general public, drug company profits have gone up considerably. To lobby against government on the notion that its regulations will interfere with higher profits is nonsense.

Art



To: JamesK who wrote (51907)5/9/2022 10:39:40 AM
From: JamesK  Respond to of 52153
 
XBI getting close to 2020 lows now. Really thought selling in this bear would move more into tech but the bios are still getting slaughtered. The biggest bear markets in early 2000's and 2008/09, the bios bottomed well before the NASDAQ bear market ended.

Maybe if Putin nukes a biotech company we could hit bottom.