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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (183322)1/31/2022 2:52:12 AM
From: Maurice Winn8 Recommendations

Recommended By
3bar
arun gera
fred woodall
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and 3 more members

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217638
 
I seem to be full atavistic reactionary barbarian. I have not taken the Holy Sacrament of Blockchain either [silly me = I could have bought it straight away in 2009 and been an umpty biillionaire then sold it before introducing my system to replace it].

Yet decades and centuries and millennia ago I was full blown, full scale deflection, boundary condition, sacrament consuming Fourier transform fanatic for mobile Cyberspace ethereal digital representation of temporal reality. Which has come to pass, near enough for government work, though 5G 3D gigabit per second retina scan stereophonic sound speed of light latency is still a work in infancy. So I'm not really a Sacrament-defying Luddite.

My criticism of bitcoin when it was first announced remains correct and is now widely acknowledged, in part = the energy cost is ridiculous, the waste of space inefficiency of make-work calculation of pointless chain of data is contrary to nature, the huge row of blockchain numbers as identity for wallet = insecure/risky and the latency to move a microdot of money is too expensive and slow. Add to that that the mining is increasingly in fewer nodes = great risk of coordinated government attack to destroy it.

But bitcoin did prove one thing that I asserted years before bitcoin existed which was that a digital currency could appear out of thin air and be of $trillions in value. All economists asserted that a money had to first be founded on some temporal reality such as gold, silver, taxation, land, sea shells, eggs, land, or something. I said no. I was right and they were all wrong despite their big fat textbooks and century of "expertise".

Now that that is out of the way, it just remains for the right, efficient, secure, fast, universal money system to be invented, My prototype design is nearing completion. The foundations are largely in place = Qualcomm mobile cyberspace, most humans ready to connect and use, chip prices and data costs cheap and fast, identity mechanisms such as fingerprints, iris scans, voice tracking, good old passwords and pins, knowledge questions, facial recognition, third party confirmation, and maybe DNA scans increasingly available.

Mqurice



To: TobagoJack who wrote (183322)2/8/2022 8:12:05 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217638
 
I wanted to get a sense of what might Casper ignition / takeoff staging / countdown look like using other blockchain histories as guidance.

CSPR might be 3 - 30 months away from ignition (CSPR @ 0.15) / takeoff (CSPR @ $0.58), depending on a whole lot of factors, and I suspect way closer to 3 than 12 months, with 30-months as a tail / outlier a/k/a ADA.

(1) Arbitrarily defined IGNITION moment as 10X increase in MARKET CAP from post-ICO ATL

(2) Defined TAKEOFF juncture as 10X increase in PRICE from post-ICO ATL



(3) By such definition set, CSPR requires a MARKET CAP of $510M (P ~ $0.15) for ignition. We must be quite close to ignition again, because we did it once before

(4) CSPR requires a PRICE of $0.58 (Mkt Cap at whatever) for take off. We have a wait, as in ‘wen’ ‘wen’ and ‘wen’ for some less patient of our cohort

(5) Speaking of cohort, neither MINA nor ICP achieved ignition / takeoff, and by the numbers, tougher for MINA / ICP to do ignition / takeoff, because both are burdened w/ high valuation to do 10X from the post-ICO ATL

(6) CSPR is in 10th month post-ICO



(7) HBAR achieved ignition 12 months post-ICO, and takeoff 15 months post ICO

(8) SOL ignition in 18th month post-ICO but was cold-launched (compressed air launch, then ignition) for takeoff during the 23rd month

At juncture of Ignition for HBAR and Takeoff (cold-launch) for SOL, the charts look just so







(9) ETH did ignition / takeoff during the 6th month post-ICO, as First Mover of smart chain

(10) ADA did ignition / takeoff during the 39th month post-ICO, having flat-line-struggled for a long time

(11) DOT did ignition / takeoff during the 8th month post-ICO, flamed-out, and rose again with a lot of help from sponsor with large network following









(12) LUNA did ignition / takeoff during the 23rd month post-ICO

(13) MATIC did ignition during the 19th month post-ICO, and takeoff during the 28th month post-ICO

(14) AVAX did ignition during 6th month post-ICO, and takeoff 7th month post-ICO







(15) HOWEVER, all chains experienced major test-of-faith drawdowns of greater than 50%, blood-curdling if tradFi but situation-normal in crypto-Fi, and more or less during the same time periods of the last 12 months









(16) CSPR might have 3 -30 months of countdowns until Ignition / Takeoff, w/ a lot of IFs, but never mind. Am good with the range as long as CSPR makes steady, inexorable eco system progress towards the inevitable