To: robert b furman who wrote (12998 ) 2/16/2022 10:46:45 AM From: Kirk © Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26731 I hope your Nomad rebuild project is going well. I look forward to seeing some photos, maybe on FB or here. WD to raise flash device prices Siu Han, Taipei; Jessie Shen, DIGITIMES Wednesday 16 February 20220 NAND flash prices going up. Western Digital has notified customers about price increases immediately for all its NAND flash devices to reflect a substantial rally in costs , according to industry sources. Other NAND flash chipmakers and memory module manufacturers are expected to follow suit, which may push up NAND flash prices, the sources said. NAND flash contract prices will likely begin to rally in the first quarter of 2022. NAND flash prices may see their largest sequential growth for 2022 in the second quarter, the sources indicated. With WD and its JV partner Kioxia holding a combined 35% market share, their production loss could affect 2-4% of the overall NAND bit output worldwide this year, according to the sources. WD and Kioxia have both announced disruption at their JV fabs in Japan due to contamination of certain material used in the manufacturing process. WD disclosed previously contamination of certain materials used in its manufacturing processes affecting production operations at both its JV fabs in Yokkaichi and Kitakami could lead to a shortage of at least 6.5 exabytes in flash storage availability. Kioxia said the incident would partially affect production of its 3D flash memory at the fabs. While shipments of its conventional 2D NAND flash memory will not be affected, the company will be striving to minimize the impact on customers. "Although Kioxia did not quantify, we are led to believe the 6.5EBs is just WD's loss, meaning Kioxia's loss could be roughly the same if not more as they have majority share of the bit output from the fabs," commented Craig Stice, chief analyst of semiconductors for Omdia. "Our best estimation, with the two together, is approximately 13.5-14 total EBs lost." For WD/Kioxia, this would be about 23%-24% of their total 1Q22 NAND bit output," Stice continued. "Industry-wide, this accounts for about 8%-9% of total NAND bit output." Inventory levels at both the manufacturers and in the end markets will be key to help absorb any of the factory loss, Stice noted. "The NAND market has been in slight oversupply, and prices have been in decline, which would suggest that there is inventory," Stice said. "However, now accounting for the loss, supply and demand could return to relative balance for the rest of the quarter."