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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bull_dozer who wrote (183685)2/8/2022 7:42:12 PM
From: bull_dozer2 Recommendations

Recommended By
alanrs
maceng2

  Respond to of 217837
 
Calling it Quits

America's vanishing workforce, anti-social media and the looming molecule crisis...

Young people, 16-24, spend an average of 21 hours per week – equal to half of a full-time job – on social media. Unlike our money, time can’t be faked. Wouldn’t it be better to use it learning something useful?

But people vote with the money. (Who are we to tell them how to spend it?) And they’ve voted heavily in favor of Netflix, Google, Amazon… and a whole ticket of internet-based candidates. But they can change their minds. The S&P 500 went down 10% in January. The Nasdaq, where the techs tend to reside, fell 15%. Facebook dropped 25% in a single day last week, marking the largest one day loss for an American company in the history of the US stock exchange. Mr. Zuckerberg, Facebook’s founder, saw his personal net worth plummet by $31 billion... roughly the GDP of Estonia. How does one man “lose” an entire country’s annual output in a single day? Where did it go?

And what about Peloton? The company sells an exercise bike, with a computer screen mounted on the handlebars, for $2,000. It took a loss of almost half a billion dollars last year. And its stock – once the darling of the tech investors – dropped 85% since December 2020.

What happened? And what made them so valuable in the first place? The business plan for almost the whole Silicon sector – including Google, Facebook and Peloton – was the same: capture someone’s ‘eyeballs’ and you’ll be able to sell him more stuff. At first, it worked beautifully. Unlike its rivals in the print media, the new companies didn’t have the expense of printing or delivering paper. Neither did they have to pay for ‘content;’ users provided the cat videos and mindless commentaries themselves. And finally, they could target their advertising much more precisely, allowing customers to choose only what they wanted to see and allowing them to tailor ads to the reader’s individual interests. That’s why ads seem to ‘follow you around’ as you cruise the worldwide web.

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Drawing back, we see more dots to connect, and a more ghastly picture: While investment in the tech sector soared…capital was drawn away from ‘old industries.’ Now, there is more and more ‘click bait’ on the internet, but we’re running out of real stuff.

Yesterday came this news item from Bloomberg:

Jeff Currie, the closely-followed head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., says he’s never seen commodity markets pricing in the shortages they are right now.

“I’ve been doing this 30 years and I’ve never seen markets like this,” Currie said in a Bloomberg TV interview. “This is a molecule crisis. We’re out of everything, I don’t care if it’s oil, gas, coal, copper, aluminum, you name it we’re out of it.”

Real things need to be coaxed out of the ground… heated and hammered… distilled and distributed… by real people. But what’s this? People are so busy on their cellphones, they don’t have time for real work.

Here’s a report from 60 Minutes…

The government's jobs report released [in early January] tells us what has happened: well over 20 million people quit their jobs in the second half of 2021. Some are calling it the "big quit," others the "great resignation."

Huh? Commodities vanishing. People leaving their jobs. Another report shows the “labor participation rate” back to where it was in the ‘70s… before women went to work, en masse. And today, one out of every eight working-age men is unemployed.


bonnerprivateresearch.substack.com