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To: Zeev Hed who wrote (13909)2/7/1998 11:20:00 PM
From: Investor2  Respond to of 18056
 
RE: "... if the Asian flue and their devaluations are not stopped. If our trade deficits goes much above this figure, I am afraid that the dollar will weaken drastically, and to prevent that, the fed might start and tighten here again..."

I agree that devaluation of foreign currencies could very well result in more U.S. imports and less exports, thus increasing the trade deficit. As foreign goods become cheaper, U.S. goods must also get cheaper or the American people will just buy the foreign goods. U.S. companies and people will find a way to compete with the lower prices or will be forced into layoffs and business closures.

Best wishes,

I2



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (13909)2/8/1998 4:07:00 AM
From: Matt G.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
Dear Dr. Zeev, TED Spread, that is, (buy)T-bill - (sell) Euro Dollar spread... is it useful to watch prior to recessionary trends?? Bugg
{see www.e-analytics .com (futures) for details.}