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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (52679)2/24/2022 7:51:02 AM
From: ItsAllCyclical  Respond to of 97274
 
I think it’s more of a question of how many civilian casualties is Putin willing to tolerate to win the war.



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (52679)2/24/2022 8:13:20 AM
From: Lee Lichterman III1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Julius Wong

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97274
 
The problem is you can't just declare you aren't going to be dependent on another nation anymore, flip a switch and replace what you were getting from them.
There was a reason you were getting something from them in the first place. You couldn't get it, you couldn't refine it or you can't do it cheap enough.
So now we have to find, refine and eat the added costs. That's if we can do it at all with all the NIMBY tree hugger regulations, court cases etc that make a 1-2 year build end up taking 10 years and legal costs that could have built 3 factories/pipelines etc.
We're broke as a nation already, now we're heaping on more expenses.
Maybe if we diverted the money wasted on Hollywood gossip, sports and following the Kardashians.... Nahhhhhh



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (52679)2/24/2022 1:55:31 PM
From: Jacob Snyder2 Recommendations

Recommended By
ajtj99
towerdog

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97274
 
Secondary effects of the pandemic:

1. Less globalization, less just-in-time inventories. More economic nationalism. This will increase prices. Supply chains will take years, not months, to re-establish.

2. Stress (economic, social) causing anger, causing violence. After the medieval bubonic plague, there was an upsurge in class warfare. Landowners fought the now-scarce serfs, who were demanding freedom and higher pay. Everyone was more willing to take risks, and do violence, to get what they wanted.

3. Rules less respected. Authority less respected. Social norms, laws, treaties, traditions are more likely to be discarded. The replacement: short-term opportunism.

4. Birth rate reduction, seen in almost every nation. Uncertain if this will be permanent.

5. Long covid. Scope unknown.

6-26. More secondary effects we are all unaware of.