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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Qone0 who wrote (52850)2/25/2022 11:58:36 AM
From: Sun Tzu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97597
 
>> Time is just an illusion.

I think zen master Benkei said something similar <g>

If you were able to input a compound metric such as the ratio of SPX earnings to their 50DMA discounted by the interest rate trend, then I'd show you how to identify the business cycle trends and apply the harmonics to extreme deviations from that trendline. It's a pity that the software is limited to only a single ticker and cannot take in ratios of different tickers/items.

As to your chart - unlike individual stocks, the index on the whole is pretty resilient over long periods. S&P adds and removes stocks based on how much they matter to the market and the economy, and in doing so they maintain a more or less coherent body that maps well with the economic cycles. Which is why you can use long term harmonics to the index. But the same is not true for individual stocks.

BABA announced yesterday that they have captured every consumer with a wallet that they could and that their growth days in China are over. Now they are going to focus on retaining consumers, expanding outside of China, and so on. In other words, they are now more like WMT than AMZN. So how it behaved 10 years ago has no bearing to how it will behave going forward. And Amazon today is a very different company than it was 2 years ago. Back then their main engine was online retail to the consumers. Today they are an enterprise could company plus a media company plus a business retail platform plus...



To: Qone0 who wrote (52850)2/25/2022 12:28:56 PM
From: Jacob Snyder1 Recommendation

Recommended By
ajtj99

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97597
 
< Time is just an illusion.>. Einstein said something similar. He said, in the equations that describe reality, time is a variable, not a constant.