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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ajtj99 who wrote (52889)2/25/2022 4:08:16 PM
From: Sun Tzu  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97601
 
If you followed that rule, you'd have missed on a ton of market gains.

I don't believe in static rules. I prefer to use relative valuations and dynamic systems.



To: ajtj99 who wrote (52889)2/25/2022 4:45:21 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97601
 
< Using 2022 earnings and 3.5% estimated inflation YOY in Jan. 2023, you get 3,680 SPX as Rule o f20 fair value>

Inflation gets that low, if the Fed funds rate is 2%, and the 10y Treasury is 3.5%. But there is a lag, so it doesn’t happen till 2024.