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To: TD who wrote (7364)2/8/1998 1:10:00 PM
From: Sergio R. Mejia  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116752
 
'What is wise to do in the beginning, fools do in the end' - Warren Buffett

A few excerpts from The Toronto Star Getting Technical - By Bill Carrigan
February 8, 1998

thestar.com

Deflation doesn't seem to be a Buffett concern

What about Buffett's 20-year low-inflation, buy-and-hold strategy that
many have recently embraced? The answer comes from a Buffett quote,
''What is wise to do in the beginning, fools do in the end.''

Buffett's silver purchase through Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is of great
significance. Berkshire took physical possession of the metal. This is
dead money; the metal returns no interest or dividends. Buffett must be
counting on a long-term capital gain. In other words, Buffett isn't
subscribing to the current deflation scare set off by the collapse of
Asian markets. If he believed that, he could have bought U.S. treasury
bonds, earned some interest and had his purchasing power grow.

At the (Toronto Financial) forum, I listened as Jerry White pitched
the new Infinity Funds philosophy. They stress that wealth is created through the long-term ownership of a business. You buy and hold financial and consumer stocks just like their hero billionaire Buffett. The problem now is that Buffett changed his style last summer and forget to tell anyone until last week.

Buffett's move doesn't necessarily mean we should run out and buy
silver stocks. It merely indicates we should rethink our strategy
toward the importance of hard assets, which perform well in inflationary times.

I believe the January recovery in the metals is the beginning of a
new bull cycle and this first up-leg should terminate in a few weeks.
A second up-leg should begin in April or May and continue through
September. I would consider selling into this strength in the late
summer.