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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ajtj99 who wrote (53583)3/4/2022 4:24:12 PM
From: roto3 Recommendations

Recommended By
ajtj99
Cogito Ergo Sum
towerdog

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97332
 
global..

I was sitting in a Munich beer garden in 1999... the Germans better English than most Americans, talk was beer, women, stock market.
qualities.
they had me badly beat on 2 of the above mentions.
it does seem as if that time in space, the U.S., we had just a very minor blip of a recession in 1998 if I correctly recall.
Europe was not doing well at all.

I'm thinking we can weather recession (again) much better than elsewhere in the world.



To: ajtj99 who wrote (53583)3/4/2022 4:28:44 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97332
 
In that time frame, there have been 8 recessions. I count 16 times the indicator has moved above 70. So the false positive rate is 50%.

The false negative rate is low.

This is like a lab test, which always says the patient has cancer. Every test in every patient. It will not miss any cancers, but is not a useful test.


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